HURRICANE LANE - INFRASTRUCTURE IMPACT SUMMARY - WaterISAC

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HURRICANE LANE - INFRASTRUCTURE IMPACT SUMMARY - WaterISAC
INFRASTRUCTURE IMPACT SUMMARY
                                                                                                     August 22, 2018; 1930 EDT

HURRICANE LANE – INFRASTRUCTURE IMPACT SUMMARY
ASSESSMENT
The Department of Homeland Security (DHS)/National Protection and Programs Directorate/National
Risk Management Center (NRMC) assesses low to medium impacts to infrastructure on the Hawaiian
Islands because of high winds and potential storm surge from Hurricane Lane. Regional impacts may occur,
but no national impacts are anticipated.

As of August 22, 2018,1400 EDT (0800 HST), Hurricane Lane is a powerful Category 4 hurricane located approximately
445 miles south-southeast of Honolulu, HI and moving toward the west-northwest at approximately 8 miles per hour
(mph). Hurricane Lane is anticipated to move very close to or over the main Hawaiian Islands from Thursday, August 23,
through Saturday, August 25. Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend
outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the hurricane’s center, and tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km). Hurricane Lane is forecasted to slightly weaken but remain a dangerous hurricane as it approaches the
Hawaiian Islands. Hurricane Lane is expected to produce 10 to 15 inches of rain over the Hawaiian Islands, with localized
amounts in excess of 20 inches.

 FIGURE 1—HURRICANE LANE TRACK AND FORECAST CONE: CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER (CPHC) ADVISORY 32A, 1400 EDT
                                           (0800 HST), AUGUST 22, 2018

The analysis within this document focuses on potential impacts resulting from wind damage and electrical power outages. If
future forecasts for Hurricane Lane predict significant storm surge inundation, NRMC would anticipate higher levels of
physical damage to facilities within inundation zones.

As of August 22, 2018, 1400 EDT (0800 HST), the duration of impacts across sectors cannot be assessed with significant
fidelity because of forecast uncertainty. NRMC will continue to monitor.

                                                                                                                                 1
HURRICANE LANE - INFRASTRUCTURE IMPACT SUMMARY - WaterISAC
NRMC is not aware of any asset disruption within the affected area that would result in a national impact. Furthermore,
NRMC has not identified any materials produced in Hawaii that are used in significant amounts by the rest of the United
States. Since 2014, exports from Hawaii have accounted for no more than 0.1 percent of total U.S. exports annually
according to the U.S. Census Bureau.i

                                                             TABLE 1— COMMUNITY LIFELINES

                                  LOCAL /
                                                    NATIONAL
                                 REGIONAL
    INFRASTRUCTURE                                    LEVEL                            IMPACT: LOW MEDIUM HIGH
                                  IMPACT
                                                     IMPACT
                                   LEVEL
                                                                       Some loss of coverage resulting from disruptions of electric power
                                                                       service and infrastructure damage (tower and antenna) from high
                                                                       winds is anticipated. Backup batteries and backup generator power
    Communications                                                   could be insufficient if power outage recovery times exceed fuel
                                                                       availability and resupply. Low physical impacts are expected to
                                                                       undersea cable landing stations as they are reinforced concrete
                                                                       structures and will likely resist wind damage.
                                                                       Electric Power: High winds could cause damage to overhead
                                                                       transmission and distribution assets. High winds may also cause
                                                                       damage to residential generation sources (such as solar panels on
                                                                       homes). Large-scale generation resources, such as petroleum
                                                                       generation, should not be affected.
                                                                       Fuel: Hawaii reports that there is at least a 7-day supply of fuel
    Energy                                                           available on each of the main islands. Hawaii Electric has a 30-day
                                                                       fuel supply available for generation. The two refineries on Oahu are
                                                                       reported to have a 7-day supply of crude oil and are shutting down
                                                                       as a precaution in advance of the storm. Barbers Point Harbor on
                                                                       the island of Oahu is the primary entry point for bulk shipments of
                                                                       crude and refined products.
                                                                       Water: Disruptions of electric power service could result in
                                                                       limited operations at water treatment facilities. If drinking water
                                                                       systems are unable to maintain sufficient pressure in the water
    Food, Water,                                                       distribution system, boil water notices will be issued to ensure the
    Shelter                                                          safety of the supply. Some locations could lose water availability if
                                                                       pumping and lift stations lack backup generation or run out of fuel.
                                                                       Food and Agriculture: Transportation disruptions may delay
                                                                       regular food distribution.
                                                                       Strong damaging winds and heavy rainfall could result in debris and
                                                                       flooding conditions on the roadways. Weather delays and
                                                                       cancellations across the island airports are expected to occur.
                                                                       Damage to facilities and aids to navigation could occur because of
    Transportation                                                   higher than normal wave action. U.S. Coast Guard will close ports
                                                                       once gale force winds are expected within 12 hours. Limited
                                                                       damage to port facilities and waterways is anticipated from this
                                                                       event. U.S. Coast Guard will determine when waterways will return
                                                                       to an operational status.
                                                                       Hospitals may lose power, but will use backup generators to
                                                                       provide power until the storm passes. Generators will require
    Health and Medical                                               refueling if hospitals experience extended power outages. Minimal
                                                                       physical damage is anticipated. The Department of Health and

i
    U.S. Census Bureau. (2018). State of Exports from Hawaii. https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/statistics/state/data/hi.html. Accessed August 22, 2018.

                    NATIONAL PROTECTION AND PROGRAMS DIRECTORATE | NATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT CENTER

                                                                                                                                                              2
LOCAL /
                                    NATIONAL
                       REGIONAL
 INFRASTRUCTURE                       LEVEL                   IMPACT: LOW MEDIUM HIGH
                        IMPACT
                                     IMPACT
                         LEVEL
                                                 Human Services reports that hospitals have ordered extra medical
                                                 supplies in anticipation of supply chain disruptions.
                                                 Emergency Services: Operations are likely to be hindered by
                                                 telecommunications network outages and transportation
                                                 disruptions. If electric outages persist, fuel supplies may need to be
                                                 replenished at Emergency Services facilities to continue operations.
 Safety and Security                           Dams: There is concern with the Ka Loko Dam and the Upper
                                                 Helemano Dam for overtopping, as both assets are near capacity
                                                 and may require releases of water. Downstream impacts to lifeline
                                                 infrastructure are unlikely.
 Hazardous Waste                               No known infrastructure in the impacted area.

                              TABLE 2—ADDITIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE SECTORS OF CONCERN

                        LOCAL /
                                    NATIONAL
                       REGIONAL
 INFRASTRUCTURE                       LEVEL                   IMPACT: LOW MEDIUM HIGH
                        IMPACT
                                     IMPACT
                         LEVEL
                                                 Chemical facilities may experience disruptions because of wind
 Chemical                                      damage and electric power outages. Expected damage to facilities is
                                                 unknown at this time.
 Commercial                                      Facilities may experience disruptions because of wind damage and
 Facilities                                    electric power outages. Minimal physical damage anticipated.
                                                 Local banking and ATM access could be disrupted in affected areas
 Financial Services                            because of power outages.
 Government                                      Facilities may experience disruptions because of wind damage and
 Facilities                                    electric power outages. Minimal physical damage anticipated.
PDM18078

              NATIONAL PROTECTION AND PROGRAMS DIRECTORATE | NATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT CENTER

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                                                                                                                         Expiration Date: 01/31/2021

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