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Global State of Small Business - A look at the beginning of the recovery in 2021, with insights on women-led and minority-led SMBs - About Facebook
SEPTEMBER 2021    REPORT

Global State of
Small Business
A look at the beginning of the recovery
in 2021, with insights on women-led
and minority-led SMBs
Global State of Small Business - A look at the beginning of the recovery in 2021, with insights on women-led and minority-led SMBs - About Facebook
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

Executive Summary

There are signs that a global recovery from                Asia (26%) have fallen more slowly and remain
the COVID-19 pandemic may be underway.                     consistently higher than in other regions.
Vaccination programs and the easing of
restrictions have provided causes for hope for             Similarly, the proportion of SMBs reporting
many after an unprecedented health crisis and              higher sales in the past 30 days compared to a
economic shock. However, many countries face               year ago has increased consistently, from 16%
new or ongoing waves of COVID-19, driven by                in May 2020 to 28% in July 2021. However, a
the Delta variant, and small and medium-sized              majority (52%) continue to report lower sales.
businesses (SMBs) in particular continue to face           The share of SMBs reporting a reduction in
many unique challenges.                                    employment due to the pandemic has also
                                                           risen since the start of 2021, from 30% to 36%.
To this end, the Global State of Small Business
Report series aims to provide information that
can help us better measure and understand the
health of SMBs and the SMB economy across
the globe. In this edition, we focus on the extent
of COVID-19’s impact on SMBs and, in doing so,
provide information that can facilitate policy                             18%
discussions about how to best support SMBs.
This latest iteration delivers insights from a
survey in July and August 2021 of more than
35,000 SMB leaders across 30 countries and
                                                                 Closure rates among SMBs have fallen
territories. It investigates the effects of the
                                                                 6 percentage points globally, down from
pandemic on these businesses’ performance,
                                                                 24% to 18% since the start of 2021.
how they have adapted to the current
circumstances and SMB leaders’ expectations
for the future. It also looks at the impacts of
the pandemic on women-led SMBs globally and
minority-led SMBs in the US.

The study finds a clear continuation of many
challenges but also some signs of a recovery
                                                                           52%
among SMBs. Closure rates among SMBs have
fallen from 24% to 18% globally since the start
of 2021, with this fall reflected in the majority
of countries. However, the global closure rate                   Approximately 52% of SMBs worldwide
remains higher than in October 2020 (16%),                       continue to report lower sales, despite
and rates in Sub-Saharan Africa and South                        closure rates being down.
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Global State of Small Business - A look at the beginning of the recovery in 2021, with insights on women-led and minority-led SMBs - About Facebook
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

There are signs of uneven impacts and                      Despite this, women-led SMBs were less
recoveries within these broader trends. SMBs               likely than men-led SMBs to report a drop in
in Europe and North America reported more                  employment as a result of the pandemic, with
positive results overall, in line with the relative        33% reporting a reduction compared to 36% for
strength of their recoveries. This is reflected in         men-led SMBs.
analyses of SMB outcomes and factors such as
vaccination rates and measures of government               Approaching the end of 2021, challenges clearly
effectiveness. SMBs in countries with higher               remain, but there are also signs of adaptation
vaccination rates were less likely to report a             and recovery. Lack of demand and cash flow
reduction in sales compared to a year ago and a            continue to be the most reported challenges,
reduction in employment due to the pandemic.               with 35% and 33% of respondents citing
The same is true of countries that score higher            these as concerns, respectively. However,
on government effectiveness measures.1                     this represents a decline from 2020, when up
                                                           to 47% and 39% of SMBs, respectively, cited
Outcomes also vary within many countries                   these as challenges. The survey also shows
between different groups of SMBs. In the US,               an increasing share of SMBs using digital
closure rates fell to 16%, and only 34% of SMBs            tools, with 88% indicating they were doing
reported lower sales than a year ago. However,             so compared to 81% at the start of 2021.
minority-led SMBs in the US were at least                  Approximately 86% of SMBs indicated that
50% more likely to report: being closed (20%               they expect to run their business operations at
compared to 13% for other SMBs), a reduction               least partly using digital tools in the future. The
in sales in the most recent 30-day period year             holiday season may also represent a significant
on year (44% compared to 29%) and reduced                  opportunity for SMBs in some countries. In a
employment as a result of the pandemic (32%                subset of 14 countries and territories that were
compared to 20%). Hispanic-led SMBs in the                 surveyed about the upcoming holidays, over
US had the highest rate of closures at 24%,                a fifth of SMBs indicated that they expected
followed by Black-led SMBs at 22%. Asian-led               the final 3 months of 2021 to represent the
SMBs were the most likely to report reduced                majority of their sales for the year. However,
employment (38%). Minority-led SMBs were                   only 13% of SMBs indicated that they would
more likely to expect changes in digital tool              take on temporary holiday workers.
use to persist. Among Black-led SMBs, 57%
thought the pandemic would change the use                  This report highlights the continued
of digital tools permanently, compared to                  vulnerability of SMBs to lasting impacts of
43% of other SMBs.                                         the pandemic. SMBs have a key role to play in
                                                           establishing a resilient and prosperous post-
Globally, women-led SMBs also remain worse                 pandemic world. It is therefore imperative
off than their men-led counterparts in closures            that they are not left behind as the recovery
and sales performance. Approximately 20%                   progresses and are provided with the support
of women-led SMBs reported being closed,                   and opportunities to enable them to flourish.
compared to 16% of men-led SMBs, although
both rates have fallen since the start of 2021
(by 7 and 5 percentage points, respectively).
Women-led SMBs were also 5% more likely to
report a reduction in sales than men-led SMBs.

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G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

Table of Contents

Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................................... i

Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 01

Section 01: Rates of closure ....................................................................................................................... 05

Section 02: Sales and revenues .................................................................................................................. 12

Section 03: Employment ............................................................................................................................ 20

Section 04: Use of digital tools.................................................................................................................. 29

Section 05: Challenges and future expectations ..................................................................................... 36

Conclusion .................................................................................................................................................... 45

Appendix ....................................................................................................................................................... 46

References.................................................................................................................................................... 52

End Notes ..................................................................................................................................................... 55

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Introduction

The world is entering the second half of 2021              Businesses will have to contend with ongoing
and approaching its second full year of living             uncertainty even as countries seek to accelerate
with the COVID-19 pandemic. The start of the               and broaden their recoveries. There are
pandemic provided an unprecedented shock to                serious challenges that lie ahead, not least the
the global economy, but restrictions are easing,           withdrawal of government support and the
and vaccination programs are now running in                need to adapt to a post-COVID-19 world. Given
many countries. Globally, a recovery is underway,          the importance of SMBs to global employment
with economic activity expected to grow by 5.6%            (70% of the total) and output (50% of gross
to 6.0% over the course of the year (World Bank            domestic product in most OECD countries), the
Group 2021; International Monetary Fund 2021a).            ability of these businesses to rebound will be
                                                           crucial in limiting the long-term effects of the
Uncertainty persists, however, and risks remain            pandemic (International Labour Organization
unevenly distributed. New variants drive new               2019; Gonzalez et al. 2014).
outbreaks, and uneven vaccination progress
poses varying risks across countries (Agarwal
and Gopinath 2021). Significantly, evidence                      The ability of
points to the disproportionate impact of
the pandemic on small and medium-sized                           SMBs to rebound
businesses (SMBs), defined as enterprises
consisting of 250 employees or fewer.2 A
                                                                 will be crucial
depression in consumer demand, combined                          in limiting the
with restrictions on economic activity, has
particularly impacted sectors where SMBs are                     long-term effects
overrepresented, such as services, wholesale
and retail trade, and hospitality, according to
                                                                 of the pandemic.
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development (OECD) research (OECD 2021a;
OECD 2019). Moreover, the crisis has exposed
the preexisting vulnerabilities of SMBs, including
having smaller and less diversified customer
bases, less developed supply chains, shorter-
term cash flows and more limited access to
finance (Gourinchas et al. 2021).

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G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

The Global State of Small Business Report series           The rest of this report is structured as follows:
is a data collection effort to monitor and share
information about the performance of SMBs                        Section 01
globally.3 The results of this report are based upon             looks at the reported rates of closure
a survey conducted between July and August                       across SMBs.
2021, capturing the responses of 35,189 business
leaders across 30 countries and territories,                     Section 02
including 10,262 business leaders from the US.                   assesses the reported sales performance
This edition follows 6 waves of data collection                  of SMBs.
throughout 2020 and a survey at the start of
2021. US data collection was done in partnership                 Section 03
with the Small Business Roundtable. The data                     analyses changes to employment within
collection effort will continue to monitor the                   SMBs since the start of the COVID-19
performance of SMBs globally.                                    pandemic and SMBs’ plans to rehire over
                                                                 the coming months.
This latest report aims to present the state
of small businesses midway through 2021,                         Section 04
assessing the performance and challenges faced                   describes how SMBs use digital tools.
by SMBs during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well
as expectations and concerns for the future.                     Section 05
This edition of the report also takes a more                     outlines the views of SMB leaders on the
detailed look at the challenges SMBs face when                   current or foreseeable challenges their
transitioning back to physical spaces and the                    businesses are facing.
holiday projections among a subset of SMBs.
Finally, the report gives special attention to how
women-led SMBs globally and minority-led SMBs
in the US have fared relative to other SMBs.

This report forms part of Facebook’s broader
commitment to supporting SMBs and its
effort to better understand the impacts of
the COVID-19 pandemic on these businesses.
Therefore, we hope that the data generated
and the insights developed from this survey will
continue to shed light on the performance and
challenges facing SMBs as the world enters the
next stage of the pandemic and beyond.

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G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

A note on survey methodology

This report covers the findings of the second              •   SMBs are defined as having fewer than
Global State of Small Business Survey of 2021.                 250 employees, regardless of revenue
The survey utilised a random sample of 35,189                  or industry.
SMB business leaders on Facebook, from
30 countries and territories, including 10,262             •   The definition of SMBs, the number of
business leaders from the US. Surveys were                     countries sampled within this report and
conducted on Facebook over the period 19 July–                 sampling approaches may differ from other
7 August 2021 for data collection in the US and                sources in the literature, including previous
19–30 July 2021 for the remaining countries                    Global State of Small Business surveys
and territories. The reporting is limited to SMB               conducted in 2020. While the trends and
leaders, defined as respondents who identified                 key findings from the previous reports
themselves as owning or managing a business                    remain relevant, these differences limit
consisting of fewer than 250 employees.                        direct comparison with the results of the
                                                               current survey, especially when looking
The findings from this survey add to the                       at aggregated statistics. Where directly
existing body of evidence and literature on                    compared in this report, survey data from
the impact of COVID-19 on SMBs, particularly                   May and October 2020 is re-estimated using
through its geographical coverage and number                   the same SMB definition.
of respondents included. In considering the
results, the following factors should be taken             •   In conducting time-trend analyses, the
into account:                                                  scope of countries sampled between May
                                                               2020, October 2020, February 2021 and the
•   The survey uses a random sample of SMB                     present survey differ slightly. In re-estimating
    leaders with Facebook Page administrator                   the data from prior surveys, sample averages
    privileges and of the general population                   and regional statistics are calculated based
    of Facebook users. Therefore, the sample                   upon the current set of 30 countries and
    covered in the survey is representative of                 territories. As each survey uses a random
    SMB leaders surveyable through Facebook                    sample of SMBs from each country, this
    at the country level and not necessarily the               forms a repeated cross-section. (There is
    national population of SMBs. Weights are                   no panel dimension.) Countries within the
    applied to enable analysis, accounting for                 current sample that were not present in prior
    nonresponse and level of Facebook activity.                surveys or had insufficient sample sizes for a
    Statistics referring to the ‘aggregate’ or                 given question are not included in aggregate
    ‘global’ sample should not be considered                   or regional statistics relating to that survey
    representative of the global population of                 period. Where presented, any missing
    SMBs, given the sample and overall number of               countries are denoted in the accompanying
    countries included in the survey.                          End Notes.

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G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

•   The sample covered in the survey includes              The Appendix contains further information
    a significantly higher number of SMBs in               surrounding the survey methodology, survey
    the US relative to SMBs in other countries.            invitations and response rates by country,
    We therefore present the results for the US            together with sample characteristics.
    separately, with additional granularity on             Information about how to access the
    state-level results where available. We present        unweighted data and full survey methodology is
    results for other countries as country averages,       available at: dataforgood.fb.com/docs/state-of-
    with global (aggregate) results presented as           small-business.
    the average across country results.

                                                                 30
•   We weighted observations to account
    for response rates and representation within
    the Facebook SMB leaders population
    and reviewed these for robustness                            countries and territories were
    before including them in this report. In                     included in the survey
    comparing results across countries, it is

                                                                 35,189
    important to consider that variation and
    differences between countries may be
    driven by numerous factors. This could
    include the sectoral makeup of an economy,                   business leaders were surveyed
    the strictness of nonpharmaceutical
    interventions (NPIs), the local level of
    COVID-19 cases and the level or extent of
    government support, among other factors.
    While this report does intend to highlight
    relationships of interest, causality cannot
    be inferred—for example, in the relationship
    between the rates of vaccination and
    SMB performance—so further research is
    encouraged in this regard.

•   The results presented in this report are not
    able to consider what responses might be in
    the absence of the COVID-19 pandemic. Any
    estimates should therefore not be viewed
    to indicate net impacts of the pandemic
    on businesses relative to a counterfactual
    scenario in which the COVID-19 pandemic
    had not occurred.

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G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

01
Rates of closure

                                       The closure rates of SMBs have fluctuated throughout the
                                       pandemic. By the second quarter of 2020, closure rates spiked
                                       (Facebook/OECD/World Bank 2020) and either remained high
                                       in some countries (OECD 2021a) or steadily fell in others as
                                       businesses adapted to the new operating environment and
                                       government support was introduced. Closure rates had again
                                       risen by February 2021, at the time of the previous iteration
                                       of the Global State of Small Business Survey, in the face of a
                                       renewed threat from COVID-19 variants and reimposition of
                                       NPIs in many countries.

                                       With overall economic activity returning to pre-pandemic levels
                                       and vaccination rates increasing in many countries, SMBs should
                                       have greater opportunities to recover. Significant challenges
                                       remain for SMBs, however, with uncertainty surrounding the
                                       continuation of government support and renewed spread
                                       of the virus, which may increase the pressures facing certain
                                       small businesses.

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G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

Since the start of 2021, SMB closure
rates have declined across many
countries …

The results of our survey show that fewer
SMBs are reporting being closed, in line with
the improved economic outlook and easing
                                                                                 18%
of restrictions. Approximately 18% of SMBs
reported that they were not operational or
engaging in any revenue-generating activities
at the time of the survey.4 This represents a                            Globally, 18% of SMBs reported that they
12 percentage point decrease since May 2020,                             were closed, down 6 percentage points
the peak of SMB closures across survey waves,                            from February 2021.
and a drop of 6 percentage points since the
start of 2021.5 Since the start of the year,
regional closure rates have all declined, with
SMBs reporting lower closure rates in 24 of
the 27 countries and territories included
across both surveys (Figure 1).

FIGURE 1: Closure rates in July 2021, across countries and territories

          10%                                                                                       40%        06
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

 … however, there exists a divergence                                           European countries have the lowest rate of
 across countries and regions, with                                             closures as of July 2021 and have seen the
                                                                                largest reductions (Figure 2). Of the 6 countries
 some showing little to no change in the
                                                                                and territories in the sample that have an SMB
 rate of closures
                                                                                closure rate below 10%, 5 are European (Belgium,
                                                                                Germany, Italy, Poland and Portugal), with Taiwan
 The decline in closure rates was greater for
                                                                                the only non-European territory. Closure rates
 more developed regions. Closure rates in
                                                                                fell most significantly in Portugal, a decrease
 Europe and North America have fallen by
                                                                                of 26 percentage points to 7% of SMBs, and
 11 and 8 percentage points, respectively,
                                                                                the UK, a decrease of 15 percentage points to
 since February 2021, meaning that the share
                                                                                22%. This compares to a rise in closure rates in
 of SMBs in the regions that were closed at the
                                                                                Australia, Pakistan and South Africa, all of which
 start of 2021 has nearly halved.6 Closure rates in
                                                                                have experienced unique challenges related to
 Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, meanwhile,
                                                                                the Delta variant, political unrest, strict NPIs
 have fallen only marginally compared with the
                                                                                and vaccine hesitancy (Smith 2021; BBC News
 beginning of the year, with rates consistently
                                                                                Service 2021; Scott and McKay 2021).
 higher than in more developed regions.

 FIGURE 2: Closure rates by survey wave, across regions

                     45%

                     40%

                     35%

                     30%
Proportion of SMBs

                     25%

                     20%

                     15%

                     10%

                     5%

                     0%
                            East Asia    Europe   Latin America   Middle East and    North           South          Sub-Saharan   Global sample
                           and Pacific                             North Africa     America           Asia             Africa        average

                                                  May 2020         October 2020      February 2021      July 2021

                                                                                                                                            07
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

Closure rates have fallen faster for                       closed in Wisconsin (11%), Oregon (13%),
consumer-facing SMBs …                                     Michigan (14%), Nevada (16%), Oklahoma (16%),
                                                           Arkansas (17%) and New York (17%), with each
                                                           of these rates falling by over 10 percentage
Closure rates of SMBs at the sector level have
                                                           points since February. However, closure rates
improved, especially for some consumer-
                                                           in other states remained relatively high. This
facing SMBs. SMB closure rates in February
                                                           includes 25% of SMBs in Louisiana, 22% in
2021 were highest in the hospitality (25%) and
                                                           Alabama, and 21% in both Pennsylvania and
services (26%) sectors, followed by wholesale              South Carolina, although the proportion
and retail (21%). In July 2021, the closure rates          of closed SMBs in Pennsylvania dropped by
in hospitality and in wholesale and retail were            11 percentage points compared to February.
at or below the global average (15% and 17%,
respectively), with both sectors experiencing              Women-led SMBs in the US were also more
the largest declines relative to other sectors.            likely to report being closed, at 18% compared
There was also improvement in services,                    to just 13% for men-led SMBs. This imbalance
with closures falling by 6 percentage points;              was true in all states across the country except
however, SMBs in this sector are still most likely         for Tennessee, which had a 2 percentage point
to be closed, at 20%.                                      difference in favor of women-led SMBs.

The proportion of micro-businesses (those with
fewer than 10 employees) that reported being
closed was approximately 50% higher than that
of larger businesses (those with 10 or more
employees). This is consistent with previous
surveys and wider research, which have found
that the smallest businesses are suffering most
                                                                           16%
through the pandemic (Dua et al. 2020).

Closure rates are falling across the US
                                                                 16% of US SMBs reported that they
                                                                 were closed in July 2021, down from
Approximately 16% of US SMBs reported that
                                                                 22% in February 2021.
they were closed at the time of the survey,
down from 22% in February. This generally
follows the relaxation of restrictions in place
across the country. Responses varied across
states, however, and were not always in line

                                                                           18%
with the existence or degree of restrictions.

Closure rates in February exceeded 30% in
states such as Massachusetts, New York and
Pennsylvania, but by July, at least 75% of
surveyed SMBs in each state were operational.
Massachusetts had the lowest closure rates
                                                                 18% of US women-led SMBs reported that
in the US (7%), 22 percentage points below
the rate recorded in early 2021. A significantly                 they were closed at the time of the survey,
smaller proportion of SMBs reported being                        compared to 13% of men-led SMBs.
                                                                                                           08
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

             Gender Disparity

   20% of women-led SMBs were
   closed within the global sample,
   4 percentage points higher than
   among men-led SMBs.

                                                                           09
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

                     WOMEN-LED

 Rates of closure were higher among women-led
 SMBs than their men-led counterparts
 Approximately 20% of women-led SMBs were                                                                                                                    The disparity between men- and women-led
 closed within the global sample, 4 percentage                                                                                                               SMBs was more mixed in Europe. For example,
 points higher than among men-led SMBs,                                                                                                                      in Ireland and the UK, women-led SMBs were
 although lower than the 6 percentage point                                                                                                                  each 10 percentage points more likely to report
 gap observed earlier in 2021. This disparity                                                                                                                closures, but there were little to no reported
 was most evident in Latin America, where the                                                                                                                differences in rates of closure between men-
 average rates of closure were 11 percentage                                                                                                                 led and women-led SMBs in Belgium, France,
 points higher for women-led SMBs. Most                                                                                                                      Germany, Italy, Portugal and Russia.
 notably, women-led SMBs were 18 percentage
 points more likely to be closed in Brazil. A similar                                                                                                        Gaps across countries and territories in
 gap was apparent across other Latin American                                                                                                                East Asia and the Pacific were also mixed.
 countries, at 7 percentage points or higher in                                                                                                              Women-led SMBs in the Philippines, Australia
 each surveyed country and territory (Figure 3).                                                                                                             and Taiwan were 9, 7 and 3 percentage points,
                                                                                                                                                             respectively, more likely to report closures.
 In Sub-Saharan Africa, women-led SMBs                                                                                                                       The opposite was observed in Vietnam and
 were 7 percentage points more likely to report                                                                                                              Indonesia, where men-led SMBs were
 closure at the time of the survey. This included                                                                                                            9 percentage points and 1 percentage point,
 women-led SMBs in Kenya, where they were                                                                                                                    respectively, more likely to report closures.
 11 percentage points more likely to be closed.                                                                                                              Differences between genders were negligible
 The gap remained at 5 percentage points or                                                                                                                  among SMBs in the Middle East and North
 more for the other 3 countries in the region.                                                                                                               Africa (comprising SMBs from Egypt and Israel).

 FIGURE 3: The differential in closure rates between men- and women-led SMBs, by country and territory 7

                     40%

                                                                                          2%
                     35%
                                                             18%                                                                                                     11%                                                                   5%
                                                                                                                      6%
                     30%                                                                                                                                                                        9%
                                                                                                                                          10%
                                                                                                                                                                                      5%                                                                                   10%
                                       6%
Proportion of SMBs

                     25%                                                                                                                                                     9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      -9%
                                                                               7%
                                                                                                                                                    1%
                     20%   8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  0%                                             6%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          9%
                     15%                                              4%                          -1%
                                                                                                                              -1%

                     10%                           -2%                                                      0%                                               0%                                               2%                                                  3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       0%
                     5%

                     0%
                                                                      Canada

                                                                               Colombia
                           Argentina

                                       Australia

                                                                                                   France
                                                   Belgium

                                                             Brazil

                                                                                          Egypt

                                                                                                                                                                             Mexico

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           South Africa
                                                                                                            Germany

                                                                                                                      Ghana

                                                                                                                                          Ireland

                                                                                                                                                    Israel

                                                                                                                                                             Italy

                                                                                                                                                                     Kenya

                                                                                                                                                                                      Nigeria

                                                                                                                                                                                                Philippines
                                                                                                                              Indonesia

                                                                                                                                                                                                              Poland

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Portugal

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Russia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Spain

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Taiwan

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           UK

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 US

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Vietnam

                                                                                                  Men-led SMBs                            Women-led SMBs                                  Global sample average

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                10
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

  MINORITY-LED

Minority-led SMBs in the US continue to be
more severely impacted
The pandemic continues to disproportionately
impact minority-led SMBs in the US.8 Minority-led
SMBs were 7 percentage points more likely to
report closures, with 20% closed compared
to 13% of other SMBs. This rate has dropped
faster for minority-led SMBs since February
2021, with a 7 percentage point decrease
                                                                           24%
compared to 5 percentage points for other
SMBs. A significant portion of this decrease
is due to an 11 percentage point drop in the
closure rate of Black-led SMBs. Hispanic-led                     Hispanic-led SMBs were the most
SMBs were the most likely to report being                        likely to report being closed at 24%,
closed at 24%, a drop of 2 percentage points                     down from 26% in February.
since February, and the proportion of Asian-led
SMBs that are not currently operating has
increased from 13% in February to 15% at the                     		        20% vs 13%
time of the survey.
                                                                 Minority-led SMBs were 7 percentage
                                                                 points more likely to report being
                                                                 closed than other SMBs.

The decline in closure rates is in line with the
wider economic recovery and may be a sign
of the lessening impact of the pandemic on
SMBs. However, progress is uneven. Closure
rates fell faster in developed countries, and
SMBs in consumer-facing sectors report a
welcome improvement. However, women-
led SMBs globally, minority-led businesses
in the US and SMBs in developing countries,
particularly Sub-Saharan Africa and
South Asia, remain behind.

                                                                                                         11
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

02
Sales and revenues

                                       Mobility-reducing restrictions, coupled with sharp declines in
                                       consumer confidence, have provided a challenging operating
                                       environment for SMBs during the course of the pandemic,
                                       even for those able to remain open (OECD 2020a).9 Previous
                                       Global State of Small Business reports found that the majority
                                       of SMBs had experienced a decline in sales over the course of
                                       the pandemic, and wider research points to changing consumer
                                       spending habits (Deloitte 2020).

                                       The pace of improvement to the sales environment is likely to
                                       vary considerably across countries and regions, even though
                                       many economies are expected to achieve significant levels
                                       of growth in 2021. The US was estimated to have surpassed
                                       pre-COVID levels of output in the first half of 2021, but the return
                                       to normal levels of economic activity may take longer for many
                                       other economies, particularly for many emerging markets and
                                       less economically developed nations (US Bureau of Economic
                                       Analysis 2021; International Monetary Fund 2021a). The fortunes
                                       of these businesses will be an integral part of this revival, given
                                       the asymmetry of the impacts of COVID-19 on SMBs and the
                                       important role SMBs play within these economies.

                                                                                                         12
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

 The sales environment is improving                                        lower sales in October 2020, 55% in February
 for some operational SMBs, although                                       2021 and 52% in the most recent survey.
                                                                           However, at the same time, a majority of SMBs
 conditions remain challenging for many …
                                                                           reported a worsened sales performance relative
 A growing proportion of SMBs are reporting                                to July 2020, a period during which the world
 an improved sales climate in line with the                                was already in the grip of the pandemic, despite
 economic recovery. Approximately 28% of                                   evidence of an improving sales climate for a
 operational businesses reported higher sales                              growing proportion of SMBs.
 over the past 30 days compared to the same
 period last year.10, 11 This represents a steady
 increase across time (Figure 4). Only 16% of
 SMBs reported higher year-on-year sales in

                                                                                            28%
 May 2020, since increasing to 20% and 21%
 of surveyed SMBs in the October 2020 and
 February 2021 surveys, respectively.

 The proportion of SMBs reporting lower sales
 has itself fallen, compared with previous survey
 results. This may also be indicative that more
 SMBs are starting to recover. Just under three-                                 28% of operational businesses reported
 quarters (73%) of SMBs reported lower sales                                     higher sales over the past 30 days
 in May 2020 than in the same 30-day period a                                    compared to the same period last year.
 year earlier. This fell to 68% of SMBs reporting

 FIGURE 4: Operational SMBs reporting higher sales compared to the previous year, across survey waves for regions

                     40%

                     35%

                     30%
Proportion of SMBs

                     25%

                     20%

                     15%

                     10%

                     5%

                     0%
                            East Asia    Europe     Latin    Middle East and    North           South          Sub-Saharan   Global sample
                           and Pacific             America    North Africa     America           Asia             Africa        average

                                                  May 2020    October 2020      February 2021      July 2021

                                                                                                                                         13
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

 SMBs in North America and Europe saw                                                                                                                                  In contrast, SMBs in East Asia and the Pacific
 the greatest increase in the proportion of                                                                                                                            and in Sub-Saharan Africa reported worsening
 SMBs reporting improved year-on-year sales                                                                                                                            sales performance. The share of SMBs in these
 performance. For instance, 40% of North                                                                                                                               regions reporting higher sales fell by 5 and
 American SMBs reported higher sales,                                                                                                                                  11 percentage points, respectively, reflecting
 a 17 percentage point improvement since                                                                                                                               renewed outbreaks in these regions driven by
 February 2021. The same trend could also be                                                                                                                           the Delta variant.
 observed in Europe and Latin America, with
 15 and 14 percentage point improvements,                                                                                                                              Three-quarters or more of SMBs in India,
 respectively, since February 2021. SMBs in                                                                                                                            Taiwan and Vietnam reported lower sales, with
 Ireland reported the largest improvement                                                                                                                              only 10% to 17% of SMBs in these countries
 within these regions, with a 27 percentage                                                                                                                            indicating sales have improved relative to the
 point increase in the proportion of SMBs                                                                                                                              same period in 2020 (Figure 5). More SMBs
 reporting higher year-on-year sales. This was                                                                                                                         reported increased sales than decreased sales
 followed by the US (21 percentage points), Italy                                                                                                                      relative to the same month in the previous year
 (20 percentage points), the UK (19 percentage                                                                                                                         in Ireland, Nigeria and the US, the only countries
 points), Germany (19 percentage points) and                                                                                                                           to report this trend.
 Brazil (18 percentage points).

 FIGURE 5: Sales performance compared to the previous year, for SMBs in selected countries and territories

                     100%

                     90%

                     80%

                     70%
Proportion of SMBs

                     60%

                     50%

                     40%

                     30%

                     20%

                     10%

                      0%
                                                                       Canada
                            Argentina

                                        Australia

                                                                                                   France
                                                    Belgium

                                                              Brazil

                                                                                Colombia

                                                                                           Egypt

                                                                                                                                                                                     Mexico

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              South Africa
                                                                                                            Germany

                                                                                                                      Ghana

                                                                                                                              India

                                                                                                                                                  Ireland

                                                                                                                                                            Israel

                                                                                                                                                                     Italy

                                                                                                                                                                             Kenya

                                                                                                                                                                                              Nigeria

                                                                                                                                                                                                        Pakistan

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Philippines
                                                                                                                                      Indonesia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Poland

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Portugal

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Russia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Spain

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Taiwan

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Turkey

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       UK

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            US

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Vietnam

                                                                                                                                         Lower                       The same                    Higher

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   14
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

 Within the US, SMB sales performance varied                                                The picture was less positive in other states.
 by state (Figure 6). The majority of SMBs in                                               The proportion of SMBs reporting lower sales
 Tennessee (53%) and South Carolina (52%)                                                   was highest in California, Georgia, Michigan
 reported greater sales in the past 30 days                                                 and Virginia (all 42%). SMBs in California,
 compared to the previous year. SMBs in                                                     Georgia, Michigan, New Jersey and New York
 Arizona and Tennessee reported the largest                                                 were also more likely to report lower sales than
 rise relative to February 2021, with the                                                   to report higher sales, although the proportion
 proportion reporting higher year-on-year                                                   reporting a worse sales performance declined
 sales increasing by 13 percentage points                                                   in all but Georgia.
 in both states. Improved sales performance
 was also evident in Indiana, Maryland and
 Minnesota, where only a quarter of SMBs
 reported a reduction in sales, compared to
                                                                                                                31-point gain
 a national average of 34%. Maryland and                                                           SMBs in Arizona and Tennessee reported
 Minnesota also recorded 30 and 29 percentage                                                      the largest rise relative to February 2021,
 point decreases, respectively, in the share of                                                    with the proportion reporting higher
 SMBs reporting lower sales.                                                                       year-on-year sales increasing by
                                                                                                   31 percentage points.

 FIGURE 6: Sales performance compared to the previous year, for SMBs in selected US states

                     60%

                     50%

                     40%
Proportion of SMBs

                     30%

                     20%

                     10%

                     0%
                           California   Colorado   Georgia   Illinois   Kentucky    Michigan   Minnesota     New     New    Tennessee   Virginia     US
                                                                                                            Jersey   York                          average

                                                                                   Higher           Lower

                                                                                                                                                       15
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

… in particular, more consumer-facing                         Construction SMBs were least likely to report
SMBs are reporting a worse sales                              a year-on-year drop in sales (41%), followed by
                                                              those in agriculture (41%) and information and
performance than other sectors
                                                              communications technology (ICT) (43%). SMBs
The majority of SMBs in retail and hospitality                in construction and in ICT were also among the
sectors reported lower sales, contrasting                     most likely to report an increase in sales, with
with the downward trend seen in aggregate                     35% of SMBs in these sectors doing so, behind
closure rates. Operational consumer-facing                    only manufacturing at 36%.
SMBs were 7 percentage points more likely to
report a reduction in sales. SMBs in wholesale
and retail trade were most likely to report a
reduction in sales compared to the equivalent
period last year, with 56% doing so (Figure 7).
Approximately 52% of SMBs in hospitality
reported a reduction in sales. The wholesale
and retail trade sector and the hospitality sector
                                                                                 52%
also had the lowest shares reporting an increase
in sales, at 28% and 33%, respectively. SMBs in
other sectors have fared relatively better.
                                                                       52% of SMBs globally in hospitality
                                                                       reported a decrease in year-on-year sales.

FIGURE 7: Sales performance compared to the previous year, by sector

   Agriculture

 Construction

   Hospitality

          ICT

Manufacturing

Other services

Transportation
   and storage
Wholesale and
  retail trade

                 0%    10%       20%       30%       40%        50%        60%        70%   80%     90%    100%

                                                          Proportion of SMBs

                                                  Lower         The same         Higher

                                                                                                                  16
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

 SMB recovery is correlated with                                                                   appear to have a lower incidence of SMBs
 vaccination rates                                                                                 reporting they have reduced employment
                                                                                                   as a result of the pandemic—and conversely,
 There appears to be a correlation between sales                                                   a positive correlation with the proportion
 performance and vaccination rates, consistent                                                     increasing employment.
 with wider links reported between vaccination
 rates and economic recovery (United Nations                                                       While these correlations do not establish a
 Development Programme 2021; World Health                                                          causal relation between rates of vaccination
 Organization 2021). Countries and territories                                                     and SMB performance, they do highlight the
 with higher vaccination rates tend to have lower                                                  disparity between countries that have had
 proportions of SMBs reporting a decline in sales                                                  faster vaccination rollouts (generally more
 relative to last year (Figure 8).                                                                 developed countries) and those that have not,
                                                                                                   particularly in relation to economic recovery.
 This relationship also holds with regards to the
 proportion of SMBs reducing employment
 (see Section 03 for an analysis of employment).
 Countries with higher rates of full vaccination

 FIGURE 8: Correlation between the rate of full vaccinations and operational SMBs reporting a drop in year-on-year sales, by
 country and territory12

                     80%
                                           ID
                                VN
                           TW

                     70%

                                  ZA
                                 GH
Proportion of SMBs

                           EG
                     60%    KE       PH
                                                                          TR
                                                               CO
                                                AU                                                        PT
                                          IN
                                 PK                                 MX
                     50%
                                                           BR                                                                ES
                                                                                                                                           GB
                                                     AR                                                            PL                            IL
                                                                                                         FR       BE
                                NG                        RU
                     40%                                                                             IT CA
                                                                                                                        DE

                                                                                                                        IE
                                                                                                                                      US

                     30%
                            0                        10                     20                     30                        40            50         60

                                                                         People fully vaccinated per 100, at the start of July 2021

                                                                                                                                                      17
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

  WOMEN-LED

Women-led SMBs were equally as likely to
report a decrease in sales as men-led SMBs
The proportion of SMBs reporting an                        likely), Portugal (12 percentage points),
improvement in sales performance in the past               France (11 percentage points) and Ireland
30 days compared to the same period last year              (11 percentage points).
was the same for both women- and men-led
SMBs, at 28%. There was also no observable                 This trend was not universal across countries,
difference between gender in the share of SMBs             however, and in some countries was reversed.
reporting a worsened sales performance (53%).              Women-led SMBs in the UK, Israel, Canada
                                                           and Argentina were all more likely to report
In some countries, women-led SMBs were more                increasing sales performances (by 6, 6, 2 and
likely to report a worse sales performance.                10 percentage points, respectively). They were
Women-led SMBs in Brazil were 16 percentage                also less likely to record a drop in sales (by 10, 5,
points less likely to report a year-on-year sales          6 and 1 percentage points, respectively) relative
increase and 8 percentage points more likely to            to men-led SMBs. This may be driven in part
report a sales decrease. Women-led SMBs were               by the recovery of retail and service sectors,
over 10 percentage points less likely to report            in which women-led SMBs are slightly more
an increase in sales in certain other countries as         concentrated, on average, within these countries.
well, including Ghana (16 percentage points less

                                                                                                              18
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

                     MINORITY-LED

 Minority-led SMBs in the US reported a greater
 impact on sales
 Minority-led SMBs in the US were more likely                              however, higher than the proportion reporting
 to report a reduction in sales compared to                                an increase in sales (37%) and is in contrast to
 the same period the previous year, with 44%                               the trend seen in other SMBs and the overall US
 doing so compared to 29% of other SMBs                                    average. Hispanic-led SMBs were most likely to
 (Figure 9). This represents an 11 percentage                              report reduced sales (46%) and least likely to
 point improvement since February 2021. It is,                             report increased sales (31%).

 FIGURE 9: Proportion of SMBs reporting a change in sales from previous year, by race or ethnicity 13, 14

                     50%

                     45%

                     40%

                     35%
Proportion of SMBs

                     30%

                     25%

                     20%

                     15%

                     10%

                      5%

                      0%
                           White    Selecting more than     Black                Hispanic        Minority-led      US average
                                    one race or ethnicity

                                                            Higher sales      Lower sales

 The business environment remains challenging                              These disparities, and the continued
 for many SMBs despite an increasing share                                 improvement of various SMBs’ performance,
 of SMBs reporting a growth in sales. Those                                are likely to be crucial for the wider strength of
 in countries with higher vaccination rates are                            the global economic recovery.
 performing relatively better. However, women-
 and minority-led SMBs remain behind other SMBs.

                                                                                                                                19
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

03
Employment

                                       The continuing impact of the pandemic on aggregate
                                       unemployment rates varies across countries. In some, rates
                                       are falling, although they remain above pre-pandemic levels.
                                       Unemployment rates in the US peaked at 15% in 2020 before
                                       declining to 5.4% by July 2021, still above the 3.5% rate observed
                                       in February 2020 (US Bureau of Labor Statistics 2021). Similar
                                       trends can be seen across OECD countries as well (OECD 2021b).
                                       In other countries, however, unemployment remains high.
                                       Unemployment in Brazil, for example, reached a record high
                                       of 14.7% in April 2021 (McGeever 2021).

                                       Evidence from the previous waves of the Global State of Small
                                       Business Report, as well as the wider literature, indicates that SMBs
                                       have reduced employment as a response to the COVID-19 crisis
                                       (Facebook/OECD/World Bank 2020; International Trade Centre
                                       2020). SMBs also account for 70% of global employment and may
                                       have a potentially vital role to play in aiding the overall restoration of
                                       employment (International Labour Organization 2019).

                                                                                                              20
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

 The proportion of operational SMBs                                              Despite the decline in February 2021, this
 reporting reduced employment as a                                               may indicate a longer-lasting impact of the
                                                                                 pandemic on SMBs’ ability to grow.
 result of the COVID-19 pandemic has
 risen since the start of the year …

 SMBs are increasingly reporting a drop in
 employment as a result of the pandemic,

                                                                                                     36%
 indicating that some SMBs continue to be held
 back from recovery and growth. Approximately
 36% of operational SMBs globally reported
 that, to date in July 2021, the pandemic had
 caused them to reduce employment, marking
 an increase from 30% at the start of 2021.15 The
 share of SMBs reporting a drop in employment
 has stayed largely consistent with previous                                          36% of operational SMBs globally
 stages of the pandemic, with 38% and 39% of                                          reported that they have reduced
 SMBs reporting reducing employment in May and                                        employment as a result of the pandemic,
 October 2020, respectively (Figure 10).                                              an increase from 30% in February 2021.

 FIGURE 10: Operational SMBs reporting reducing employment as a consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic, across regions

                     60%

                     50%

                     40%
Proportion of SMBs

                     30%

                     20%

                     10%

                     0%
                            East Asia    Europe   Latin America   Middle East and     North          South         Sub-Saharan   Global sample
                           and Pacific                             North Africa      America          Asia            Africa        average

                                                  May 2020        October 2020       February 2021     July 2021

                                                                                                                                            21
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

 There are also differences across countries. SMBs                       a reduction in employment as a result of the
 in Europe and North America were less likely to                         pandemic (Figure 11). This trend also holds when
 report a reduction in employment as a result of                         considering developing countries and territories
 the pandemic than SMBs in other regions. All                            only. However, the relationship does not appear
 countries in our sample in which less than 30% of                       to hold for the subset of developed countries.17
 SMBs reported a reduction in employment are in
 these regions. SMBs in developing countries—in
 particular, Indonesia (72%), Kenya (58%) and                                   Countries and
 Vietnam (53%)—were much more likely to have
 reduced their workforces.
                                                                                territories that score
                                                                                higher on the World
 SMBs’ performance also appears to correlate
 with the institutional environments in which
                                                                                Bank Government
 they operate. The World Bank Government                                        Effectiveness
 Effectiveness Index measures the quality of
                                                                                Index appear to
 inputs required for the government to be able
 to produce and implement good policies and                                     have fewer SMBs
 deliver public goods. The index is based on                                    reporting a reduction
 households’ and businesses’ perception of the
 quality of factors such as public services and                                 in employment as a
 policymaking.16 Countries that score higher on                                 result of the pandemic.
 the index appear to have fewer SMBs reporting

 FIGURE 11: Relationship between government effectiveness and the proportion of SMBs reporting employment reductions,
 by country and territory

                     80%

                                                                ID
                     70%

                     60%
                                                KE
Proportion of SMBs

                                                               VN
                     50%            NG
                                                       GH       CO
                                                                IN
                                         EG                PH
                     40%                 PK           MX                   ZA
                                                                    TR
                                                 BR                                                       TW
                                                                                                ES
                                                                     AR
                     30%                                                                                     IL           AU

                                                                                  IT                       PT                       CA
                                                        RU                             PL                                 US
                                                                                                                GB             DE
                     20%                                                                             BE
                                                                                                          IE
                                                                                                               FR

                     10%
                        -1.5   -1        -0.5              0                    0.5         1                       1.5                  2

                                                      Government Effectiveness Index

                                                                                                                                             22
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

 … however, some SMBs have since
 started rehiring, a trend that appears
 set to persist into the near future …

 Some SMBs have been active in rebuilding their
 workforces, despite many continuing to report
                                                                                           19%
 reduced overall employment. Approximately
 38% of SMBs indicated that at least some of
 their current workforce had been hired during
                                                                                 19% of SMBs globally indicated that
 the pandemic (Figure 12), and 19% indicated
                                                                                 they had rehired at least some of their
 that at least some of these workers were                                        workers who had been furloughed or
 rehired after being furloughed or laid off during                               laid off during the pandemic.
 the pandemic. The proportion of SMBs rehiring
 furloughed or laid-off workers was substantially
 higher in some countries—for example, India
 (37%), Pakistan (35%) and Indonesia (33%).

                                                                                           10%
                                                                                 10% of SMBs globally reported that
                                                                                 their employment had increased as
                                                                                 a result of the pandemic.

 FIGURE 12: Operational SMBs reporting increasing employment as a consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic, across regions

                     20%

                     15%
Proportion of SMBs

                     10%

                     5%

                     0%
                            East Asia    Europe     Latin    Middle East and    North          South          Sub-Saharan   Global sample
                           and Pacific             America    North Africa     America          Asia             Africa        average

                                                  May 2020    October 2020     February 2021      July 2021
                                                                                                                                      23
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

 In fact, more than 10% of operational SMBs
 in our survey reported that their employment
 had increased as a result of the pandemic. This
 represents a larger proportion than in February
 2021 (7%) and at any point in the previous year.

 Looking to the future, 24% of SMBs surveyed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  24%
 globally plan to rehire previously furloughed or
 laid-off workers over the next 6 months. This
 proportion was higher in many middle-income
 countries, such as Colombia, India and Pakistan,                                                                                                                                    24% of SMBs surveyed globally plan to
 which were all at 41% (Figure 13).                                                                                                                                                  rehire previously furloughed or laid-off
                                                                                                                                                                                     workers over the next 6 months.

 FIGURE 13: SMBs planning to hire more workers over the coming months, by country and territory

                     80%

                     70%

                     60%

                     50%
Proportion of SMBs

                     40%

                     30%

                     20%

                     10%

                     0%
                                                                      Canada
                           Argentina

                                       Australia

                                                                                                  France
                                                   Belgium

                                                             Brazil

                                                                               Colombia

                                                                                          Egypt

                                                                                                                                                                                    Mexico

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             South Africa
                                                                                                           Germany

                                                                                                                     Ghana

                                                                                                                             India

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Taiwan

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Turkey

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      UK

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           US

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Vietnam
                                                                                                                                     Indonesia

                                                                                                                                                 Ireland

                                                                                                                                                           Israel

                                                                                                                                                                    Italy

                                                                                                                                                                            Kenya

                                                                                                                                                                                             Nigeria

                                                                                                                                                                                                       Pakistan

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Philippines

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Poland

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Portugal

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Russia

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Spain

                                                                                                                                                               No                    Yes

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                24
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

In the US, 24% of SMBs stated that they                      Arkansas had the highest proportion of SMBs
had reduced employment as a consequence                      reporting increased employment, at 23%.
of the COVID-19 pandemic, representing                       This contrasts with states such as Alabama,
only a 3 percentage point decline since                      Kentucky, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nevada and
February. At the same time, 13% of SMBs                      Tennessee, where less than 10% reported an
had increased employment over the same                       increase in employment.
period, an improvement of 5 percentage
points since February.                                       … with changes in SMB employment
                                                             dependent on sectors
Results varied across states, with 38% of SMBs
in Nevada and approximately one-third of                     SMBs in the hospitality and transport sectors
SMBs in Michigan (33%) and Kentucky (32%)                    were the most likely to report reduced
stating they had reduced employment. This                    employment due to the pandemic (52% and
was in direct comparison to South Carolina                   42% of SMBs in these sectors, respectively)
and Minnesota, where only 14% of SMBs had                    (Figure 14). In contrast, 27% of SMBs in the
reduced employment. The proportion of SMBs                   ICT sector experienced a reduction in their
in New Jersey reporting that they had reduced                workforces. SMBs in this sector were also most
employment was 13 percentage points lower                    likely to report an increase in employment due
since the February survey, the largest drop of               to the pandemic, with 14% doing so.
all states, followed by Missouri (12 percentage
points lower), and California and New York
(both 11 percentage points lower).

FIGURE 14: Proportion of SMBs reporting changing employment due to the COVID-19 pandemic, by sector

    Agriculture

  Construction

    Hospitality

           ICT

 Manufacturing

 Other services

 Transportation
    and storage

 Wholesale and
   retail trade

                  0%          10%              20%                 30%               40%          50%    60%

                                                          Proportion of SMBs

                                                       Increased         Decreased
                                                                                                             25
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

  WOMEN-LED

Women-led SMBs were less likely to report
reduced employment but were also less likely
to have increased employment

Women-led SMBs globally were 4 percentage                  previous Global State of Small Business reports
points less likely to have reported reducing               and wider literature on female entrepreneurs
employment as a result of the COVID-19                     (Facebook/OECD/World Bank 2020; Bardasi
pandemic than men-led SMBs. Women-led                      et al. 2011). Differences in the characteristics
SMBs were also 3 percentage points less likely             of men- and women-led SMBs, such as the
to state that they had increased employment.               average size and the sectoral composition,
                                                           may influence the productivity and scalability
The difference between women- and men-                     of these businesses (Carranza et al. 2018). This
led SMBs varied in size by country and                     suggests that variation in the size and sectoral
territory. Women-led SMBs were more than                   makeup of SMBs may play an important role
10 percentage points less likely to report                 in driving some of the observed differences
reducing employment in Israel (16 percentage               between men- and women-led enterprises.
points), the UK (12), Australia (10) and Taiwan
(10). Women-led SMBs were also more than 10
percentage points less likely to report increasing
employment in Germany, Ireland and Russia.
                                                                           26% vs 18%
                                                                  26% of men-led SMBs reported that
Similar trends were observed when SMBs                            they plan to rehire workers within the
were asked about their expectations for                           next 6 months, compared to only
rehiring. Approximately 26% of men-led                            18% of women-led SMBs.
SMBs reported that they were planning to
rehire within the next 6 months, compared to
only 18% of women-led SMBs. This disparity
was greatest in countries such as Mexico
                                                                  Variation in size and
(19 percentage points lower), Vietnam                             sectoral makeup
(15 percentage points), Russia (14 percentage
points), South Africa (14 percentage points)
                                                                  between women-
and Canada (13 percentage points).                                and men-led SMBs
These findings may be driven in part by                           may play an important
the greater propensity of women-led SMBs                          role in driving some
sampled to operate smaller establishments,
such as those within the personal services                        observed differences.
sector. Women-led SMBs globally were
12 percentage points more likely to work in
the services sector and 6 percentage points
more likely to work in a micro-enterprise
(i.e., fewer than 10 employees), similar to the

                                                                                                           26
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

  MINORITY-LED

Minority-led SMBs were more likely
to reduce employment
Minority-led SMBs in the US were more likely
to report reduced employment. Almost one-
third (32%) did so, compared to just 20%
of other SMBs, a difference of 12 percentage
points. This gap has widened since February
2021, when minority-led SMBs were only
7 percentage points more likely to have reduced
                                                                           32%
employment. Asian-led SMBs were most likely
to reduce employment, with 38% reporting
reduced employment, followed by 35% for
Hispanic-led SMBs. Asian-led SMBs were also                      32% of minority-led businesses
the most likely to report increased employment,                  reported reducing employment as
however, at 18% compared to just 7% of                           a result of the pandemic, compared
Hispanic-led SMBs.                                               to 20% of other SMBs.

There is some cause for optimism, however,
as more minority-led SMBs (21%) planned to
rehire furloughed or laid-off workers over the
next 6 months than other SMBs (8%). More than
one-quarter (27%) of Hispanic-led SMBs planned
to rehire staff, the most of any minority group.

While the recent trends for the labour market              There are causes for optimism, however.
have been positive, the findings of the survey             An increasing share of SMBs now have more
suggest the impact of the pandemic on SMB                  employees than before the pandemic, and
employment has remained stubbornly high                    almost one-quarter are now either rehiring
over its course. The share of SMBs reporting a             or planning to rehire, including minority-led
reduction in workforce size since the start of             businesses. Enabling SMB growth will be an
the pandemic fell in February 2021 but has since           important element to economic recovery and
returned to the higher levels seen in 2020.                resilience going forward.

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G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

             Rehiring Uptick

   More minority-led SMBs
   (21%) plan to rehire
   furloughed or laid-off
   workers over the next
   6 months than other
   SMBs (8%).

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G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

04
Use of digital tools

                                       The digitalisation of businesses has surged in recent years, and
                                       companies have further increased their use of digital tools during
                                       the COVID-19 pandemic. In particular, remote working, adoption
                                       of newer technologies and revenue made online have increased
                                       (Gartner 2021; OECD 2020b). New consumer habits and
                                       expectations of work conditions formed during the pandemic are
                                       likely to remain to some extent, even as the economic recovery
                                       continues (European Commission 2021; Bartik et al. 2020).

                                       SMBs typically lag behind their larger counterparts when
                                       considering the uptake of digital tools, restricting their use to
                                       mostly administrative functions (OECD 2021c). Digital platforms,
                                       however, have provided many enterprises with an alternative
                                       avenue in which to operate during the pandemic. SMBs have had
                                       to adapt, whether to reach new customers or overcome physical
                                       restrictions placed upon their operations. Subsequently, use of
                                       digital tools has increased significantly during these difficult times.

                                                                                                           29
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

 During the COVID-19 pandemic,                                                    Use of digital tools has also increased since the
 an increasing share of SMBs have                                                 start of 2021, rising from 81% to 88% of SMBs
                                                                                  since February 2021 (Figure 15). The share of
 leveraged digital tools to stay
                                                                                  SMBs using digital tools increased the most
 connected to their customers …
                                                                                  in Egypt (19 percentage points), and in Ireland
                                                                                  and Pakistan (both 17 percentage points), but
 A large majority of leaders in operational
                                                                                  this trend was not always consistent. SMBs in
 SMBs reported utilising digital tools for their
                                                                                  countries such as Israel and Indonesia reported
 businesses. SMBs were most likely to report
                                                                                  a decline in the use of digital tools, by 5 and 7
 using digital tools to advertise (60%) and to
                                                                                  percentage points, respectively.
 communicate with customers (58%). This
 trend was evident in all regions except North
                                                                                  SMBs have been increasing digital tool use
 America, where SMBs were more likely to report
                                                                                  across a range of purposes since February 2021.
 communicating directly with customers (73%)
                                                                                  The largest increases were seen in advertising
 than advertising as a use of digital tools (71%).
                                                                                  and selling goods and services, with the share
 SMBs in Latin America were particularly likely
                                                                                  of SMBs using digital tools for these purposes
 to use digital tools for advertising, with 76%
                                                                                  rising 21 percentage points and 12 percentage
 and 73% of SMBs highlighting this in Mexico
                                                                                  points, respectively.
 and Brazil, respectively.

 FIGURE 15: SMBs’ reported use of digital tools in February and July 2021 survey waves, across the global sample

                     60%

                     50%

                     40%
Proportion of SMBs

                     30%

                     20%

                     10%

                     0%
                           Advertising   Communicating    Selling goods        Analysing or      Coordinating or   Hiring     None
                                         with customers   and services    researching to answer   collaborating             mentioned
                                                                            business questions between employees

                                                                     February 2021        July 2021

                                                                                                                                    30
G LOBAL STATE O F SM A LL BU SI N E SS R E P O R T - S EP T EM B ER 2021

 … in particular, digital channels were a                                         regions, particularly Latin America, where 43%
 means to support sales for SMBs …                                                indicated that use of digital tools had increased
                                                                                  sales performance. The exception was Europe,
 The importance of digital tools to SMB leaders                                   where SMBs were the least likely to report
 was reflected in the proportion of businesses                                    an increase in sales (30%) and more likely to
 reporting positive experiences. Approximately                                    identify an increase in customer or supplier
 69% of SMBs reported that use of digital tools                                   base (32%).
 has had at least one positive impact on their
 business operations, such as an increase in
 sales or customer base. This proportion was
 greater in middle-income countries, despite
 the overall lower usage rates. In Vietnam
 and the Philippines, 88% and 78% of SMBs,                                                    Usage of digital
 respectively, reported at least one form of
 positive impact on their businesses.
                                                                                              tools by SMBs has
                                                                                              increased globally,
 More SMBs reported that digital tools had led
 to an increase in sales (34%) than for any other                                             rising from 81%
 impact, followed by an increase in customer or
 supplier base (31%) across the global sample
                                                                                              to 88% since
 (Figure 16). This was the case across almost all                                             February 2021.

 FIGURE 16: Reported impact of digital tools on operational SMBs, across the global sample

                     40%

                     30%
Proportion of SMBs

                     20%

                     10%

                     0%
                           Increase      Increase in      Access to digital       Lower          Increase in   Other      No impact
                            in sales    customer or    solutions and business   operational     employment
                                       supplier base    intelligence services     costs

                                                                                                                                  31
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