FX Insights - United Overseas Bank

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Global Economics & Markets Research
Email: GlobalEcoMktResearch@uobgroup.com
URL: www.uob.com.sg/research

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021            US equities slipped from record-levels to start the week on Monday as weakness in the technology
                                  sector weighed on the broader market. US Treasury yields were higher on Monday even as equities
                                  markets fell, as market participants looked ahead to a Wednesday bond auction. The closely watched
                                  part of the US Treasury yield curve measuring the gap between yields on 2- and 10-year Treasury notes,
Quek Ser Leang
Quek.SerLeang@uobgroup.com        seen as an indicator of economic expectations, was at 144bps, about a basis point higher than Friday's
                                  close. The US dollar slumped to a six-week low against major peers on Monday. The US Dollar index
Lee Sue Ann                       (DXY) tumbled to 91.034 before closing at around 91.069.
Lee.SueAnn@uobgroup.com
                                  EUR/USD traded through 1.20 for the first time since 4 March and USD/JPY broke below 108.34 for
                                  the first time since 5 March. Similar strength was seen in the AUD and NZD, and the NOK was the best
                                  performer, with EUR/NOK trading below 10 to its lowest level in more than a year. GBP put in a much
                                  stronger performance, reversing all its weakness of the morning session with EUR/GBP trading briefly
                                  below 0.86 to its lowest since 7 April.

                                  Asian FX were similarly mixed on Monday’s closing. Gainers which appreciated against the greenback
                                  included the TWD (+0.49%), SGD (+0.28%), CNY (+0.16%) and IDR (+0.12%), while losses were seen
                                  in INR (-0.71%) and KRW (-0.07%). Accounting for the movements, the Asian Dollar Index rose 0.16%.
                                  The SGD NEER is currently trading at 0.87% above the mid-point. We expect the SGD NEER to trade
                                  between +0.6% and +1.2% above midpoint, which implies USD/SGD range of 1.3261 - 1.3342.

                                  The global economic docket looks relatively quiet on Tuesday, with the latest UK jobs data due. In Asia,
                                  the economic docket today will feature Bank Indonesia (BI)’s latest monetary policy decision, with
                                  market estimates expecting no change to its 7d- reverse repo rate at 3.50%. Elsewhere, Taiwan will
                                  publish its export orders for March.

                                  Recent publications:
                                  19 Apr 21: US Apr 2021 FX Report: Resetting FX Relations, No Currency Manipulator, Enhanced
                                  Engagement With 3 Economies
                                  16 Apr 21: China: GDP Surged 18.3% y/y In 1Q21 With A More Broad-based Recovery
                                  16 Apr 21: Singapore: Very Upbeat March Trade Data To Lift NODX Outlook
                                  15 Apr 21: Indonesia: Trade Surplus Continued As Exports And Imports Surged In March
                                  15 Apr 21: Singapore: Recalibrating the UOB S$NEER; An Improvement From The Previous Model

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
1|P a g e
USD/SGD: 1.3300
         24-HOUR VIEW
 USD could weaken further; oversold conditions suggest a sustained decline below 1.3275 is unlikely.
 The rapid manner by which USD plummeted to 1.3298 came as a surprise (we were expecting USD to trade sideways). While the decline
 is oversold, there are no signs of stabilization just yet. In other words, USD could weaken further but in view of the oversold conditions, a
 sustained decline below 1.3275 is unlikely (next support is at 1.3250). Resistance is at 1.3315 but only a move above 1.3330 would
 indicate the current USD weakness has stabilized.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Further USD weakness is not ruled out but it is left to be seen if it can move below the next support at 1.3250.
 While we have held a negative USD view for two weeks now (see annotations in the chart below), in our latest narrative from last Friday
 (16 Apr, spot at 1.3345), we highlighted that “the next support at 1.3300 may not come into the picture”. In that context, the swift and sharp
 drop to 1.3298 during NY session came as a surprise. Further USD weakness is not ruled out but in view of the oversold conditions, it is
 left to be seen if USD could move below the next support at 1.3250. On the upside, a break of 1.3355 (‘strong resistance’ level was at
 1.3395 yesterday) would indicate that the weak phase has run its course.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 USD/SGD is likely to strengthen in the second quarter of 2021. Resistance is as at 1.3560 followed by 1.3620. (dated 19 Mar 2021, 1.3410)
 Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                                   Ranges 19 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                           Resistance
                                                                           Open     High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 1.3275                         R1: 1.3330
                                                                          1.3348   1.3350   1.3298    1.3301   -0.31%   -0.78%    -0.93%    +0.68%
              S2: 1.3250                         R2: 1.3355

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
2|P a g e
EUR/USD: 1.2035
         24-HOUR VIEW
 Momentum remains strong; EUR could advance further to 1.2065.
 We did not anticipate the sudden surge in EUR that blew past the solid resistance zone between 1.2000 and 1.2010 (high of 1.2048).
 Upward momentum remains strong and EUR could advance further towards 1.2065. For today, the next resistance at 1.2115 is unlikely
 to come into the picture. Support is at 1.2015 followed by 1.1995.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Upward momentum has been boosted; the next level to focus on in EUR is at 1.2115.
 We have held a positive outlook in EUR for two weeks now (see annotations in the chart below). As the advance in EUR struggled to break
 1.2000, we highlighted yesterday (19 Apr, spot at 1.1970) that “unless EUR breaks clearly above 1.2000/1.2010 within these couple of
 days, the chance for further EUR strength would diminish quickly”. EUR subsequently cracked 1.2000/1.2010 and surged to 1.2048.
 Upward momentum has been boosted and the next level to focus on is at 1.2115. That said, there is a rather strong resistance level at
 1.2065. The current positive phase in EUR is deemed intact as long as it does not move below 1.1965 (‘strong support’ level was at 1.1915
 yesterday).

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 Bias for EUR/USD is on the downside but any weakness is expected to encounter solid support at 1.1740. (dated 19 Mar 2021, 1.1970)
 Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                                 Ranges 19 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                         Resistance
                                                                        Open      High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 1.1995                       R1: 1.2065
                                                                        1.1975   1.2048   1.1941    1.2033   +0.42%   +1.04%   +1.09%     -1.47%
              S2: 1.1965                       R2: 1.2115

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
3|P a g e
GBP/USD: 1.3990
         24-HOUR VIEW
 Room for advance in GBP to test 1.3865 first before easing.
 We highlighted yesterday that “there is room for the advance in GBP to test 1.3865 first before easing”. Instead of ‘testing’ 1.3865, GBP
 blast past this level and rocketed to 1.3993. While clearly overbought, there is room for GBP to move above last month’s peak near
 1.4020. For today, the next major 1.4100 is not expected to come into the picture. Support is at 1.3955 followed by 1.3920.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 GBP could advance further but the next major resistance at 1.4100 may not come into the picture so soon.
 We noted yesterday (19 Apr, spot at 1.3825) that “the advance in GBP has covered considerable ground but it could strengthen further to
 1.3890”. While our view for GBP to strengthen is correct, the sudden lift-off that sent GBP rocketing to 1.3993 came as a surprise. Note
 that GBP gained +1.01% yesterday, its biggest 1-day advance since mid-Jan. The rapid rise appears to be a bit overdone but is not showing
 any sign of weakening just yet. In other words, GBP could advance further even though the next major resistance at 1.4100 may not come
 into the picture so soon. On the downside, a breach of 1.3850 (‘strong support’ level was at 1.3750 yesterday) would indicate that the
 current GBP strength has come to an end. On a shorter-term note, 1.3920 is already a strong support level.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 Risk for GBP/USD is tilted to the downside but any corrective pullback is expected to encounter solid support at 1.3530. (dated 19 Mar
 2021, 1.3945) Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                                 Ranges 19 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                          Resistance
                                                                         Open     High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 1.3920                        R1: 1.4020
                                                                        1.3838   1.3993   1.3811    1.3989   +1.01%   +1.76%   +0.94%     +2.39%
              S2: 1.3850                        R2: 1.4100

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
4|P a g e
AUD/USD: 0.7770
         24-HOUR VIEW
 AUD is likely to strengthen further but 0.7820 is likely out of reach for now.
 Our expectation for AUD to “trade within a 0.7700/0.7745 range” was wrong as it dipped to 0.7706 before surging to 0.7784. The rapid
 rise appears to be running ahead of itself but AUD could strengthen further. That said, the next major resistance at 0.7820 is likely out of
 reach for now (minor resistance is at 0.7800). Support is at 0.7745 followed by 0.7720.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Outlook for AUD is positive; next resistance is at 0.7820.
 In our latest narrative from last Thursday (15 Apr, spot at 0.7730), we highlighted that “risk is for a higher AUD towards 0.7785”. We added,
 “the next resistance is at 0.7820”. After trading in a relatively quiet manner for a few days, AUD soared to 0.7784 during early London
 session yesterday (19 Apr). Upward momentum has improved and a break of 0.7785 would shift the focus to 0.7820. The next resistance
 above 0.7820 is at 0.7850. Overall, the current positive outlook for AUD is deemed intact as long as it does not move below 0.7700 (‘strong
 support’ level previously at 0.7670).

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 Outlook for AUD/USD is tilted to the downside but any weakness is unlikely to challenge the September 2020 peak at 0.7413. (dated 19
 Mar 2021, 0.7810) Read More

         LEVELS
                                                                               Ranges 19 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                         Resistance
                                                                       Open     High      Low     Close      1D       1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 0.7720                       R1: 0.7820
                                                                      0.7729    0.7784   0.7706   0.7755   +0.27%   +1.73%   +0.13%     +0.81%
              S2: 0.7700                       R2: 0.7850

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
5|P a g e
NZD/USD: 0.7190
         24-HOUR VIEW
 Scope for NZD to test 0.7215; next resistance is unlikely to come under threat for now.
 The sharp and swift rise in NZD to 0.7198 came as a surprise (we were expecting NZD to consolidate). Despite the strong advance,
 upward momentum has not improved by as much. However, there is scope for NZD to test 0.7215. For today, the next resistance at
 0.7240 is unlikely to come under threat. Support is at 0.7165 followed by 0.7140.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Risk for NZD is on the upside but 0.7240 may not come into the picture so soon.
 We have expected NZD to strengthen since the middle of last week (see annotations in the chart below). Yesterday (19 Apr, spot at 0.7135),
 we noted that “overbought shorter-term conditions could lead to a couple of days of consolidation first”. Instead of consolidating, NZD
 soared to 0.7198, close to our initial ‘objective’ at 0.7200. While upward momentum has improved, it appears a bit ‘tentative’ for now. That
 said, the risk is still on the upside but the next resistance at 0.7240 may not come into the picture so soon. On the downside, a break of
 0.7120 (‘strong support’ level was at 0.7065 yesterday) would indicate that NZD strength has run its course.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 NZD/USD is likely to trade with a downward bias but the 55-week exponential moving average is unlikely to come into the picture (dated
 19 Mar 2021, 0.7240) Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                               Ranges 19 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                         Resistance
                                                                      Open      High     Low      Close     1D       1W       1M         YTD
              S1: 0.7140                      R1: 0.7215
                                                                      0.7140   0.7198   0.7117    0.7180   +0.45%   +2.16%   +0.17%     -0.01%
              S2: 0.7120                      R2: 0.7240

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
6|P a g e
USD/JPY: 108.15
         24-HOUR VIEW
 Rapid drop in USD could test 107.90 first before stabilization can be expected.
 Our expectation for USD to “trade sideways” was wrong as it plummeted to 108.00. While the sharp and rapid drop appears to be overdone,
 USD could test 107.90 first before stabilization can be expected. For today, the next support at 107.70 is unlikely to come into the picture.
 Resistance is at 108.40 followed by 108.60.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Further USD weakness is likely but 107.65 may not come into the picture so soon.
 Two weeks ago (06 Apr), when USD was trading at 110.30, we highlighted that “a short-term top is in place” (see annotations in the chart
 below). As USD declined, in our latest narrative from last Wednesday (14 Apr, spot at 108.85), we noted that “downward momentum is
 beginning to wane but there is still chance for USD to move to 108.40”. We added, “further weakness to 108.00 is not ruled out but the
 odds for such a move are low”. After trading in a quiet manner and within relatively narrow ranges for a few days, USD cracked 108.40 and
 plunged to 108.00 yesterday (19 Apr). While the improved downward momentum suggests further USD weakness is likely, there is another
 major support at 107.65. In other words, 107.65 may not come into the picture so soon. On the upside, a break of 108.85 (‘strong resistance’
 level previously at 109.20) would indicate that the pullback has run its course.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 Strong rally in USD/JPY has more room to run; break of trend-line at 110.00 would not be surprising but the February 2020 peak near
 112.20 is likely out of reach within 2Q2021. (dated 19 Mar 2021, 109.00) Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                               Ranges 19 Apr 21                       Percentage change
               Support                        Resistance
                                                                     Open       High        Low      Close     1D       1W        1M       YTD
              S1: 107.90                      R1: 108.60
                                                                    108.74     108.83      108.00   108.15   -0.57%    -1.12%   -0.66%    +4.76%
              S2: 107.65                      R2: 108.85

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
7|P a g e
USD/CNH: 6.5100
         24-HOUR VIEW
 USD could test the major support at 6.5000 first before a more sustained recovery can be expected.
 We did not anticipate the relatively sharp drop in USD to 6.5031 yesterday (we were expecting USD to trade between 6.5210 and 6.5410).
 Despite the rebound from the low, the weakness in USD has yet to stabilized. From here, USD could test the major support at 6.5000 first
 before a more sustained recovery can be expected (next support is at 6.4850). Resistance is at 6.5180 followed by 6.5250.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Risk for USD is still on the downside, break of 6.5000 would shift focus to 6.4850.
 We have held a negative view in USD since the middle of last week (see annotation n the chart below). While USD weakened as expected,
 the pace of decline was slow and downward momentum was lackluster. Yesterday (19 Apr, spot at 6.5300), we highlighted that USD “has
 to move and stay below 6.5150 within these couple of days or the odds for further USD weakness would diminish quickly”. USD
 subsequently plummeted to 6.5031 before closing at 6.5100 (-0.28%). Downward momentum has improved, albeit not by all that much.
 That said, the risk for USD is still on the downside and we continue to eye our initial ‘objective’ at 6.5000. A clear break of this level would
 shift the focus to 6.4850. On the upside, a breach of 6.5350 (‘strong resistance’ level previously at 6.5530) would indicate that the downside
 risk has dissipated.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 Recovery in USD/CNH has plenty of room, both price and time-wise to extend further even though major resistance at 6.6700 could be
 but of reach within the second quarter of 2021. (dated 19 Mar 2021, 6.4980) Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                                    Ranges 19 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                            Resistance
                                                                            Open     High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
              S1: 6.5000                          R1: 6.5250
                                                                           6.5280   6.5344   6.5031    6.5100   -0.28%   -0.57%    +0.03%    +0.12%
              S2: 6.4850                          R2: 6.5350

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
8|P a g e
EUR/SGD: 1.6000
         24-HOUR VIEW
 EUR is likely to consolidate and trade between 1.5970 and 1.6040.
 Yesterday, we highlighted that “the bias is for EUR to test 1.5930”. We added, “a break of this level is not ruled but the next support at
 1.5900 is not expected to come into the picture”. While our view was not wrong as EUR dropped to 1.5921, the sharp and swift surge from
 the low to 1.6031 came as a surprise. The rapid rise appears to be running ahead of itself and EUR is unlikely to strengthen much further.
 EUR is more likely to consolidate and trade between 1.5970 and 1.6040.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Strong bounce in EUR has room to extend but any advance is likely limited to 1.6065.
 Yesterday, we noted the recent positive phase in EUR has ended and we expected it to “trade between 1.5900 and 1.6000”. We did not
 anticipate the sudden lift-off that sent EUR to 1.6031. The strong bounce has room to extend but any advance is likely limited to 1.6065.
 On the downside, a break of 1.5940 would indicate that EUR is not ready to move to 1.6065.

         1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 EUR/SGD could trade sideways, roughly between the two major levels of 1.5855 and 1.6350. (dated 19 Mar 2021, 1.6030) Read more

         LEVELS
                                                                              Ranges 19 Apr 21                     Percentage change
               Support                        Resistance
                                                                      Open      High     Low      Close     1D       1W        1M       YTD
              S1: 1.5970                      R1: 1.6040
                                                                     1.5971    1.6031   1.5921   1.6011   +0.14%   +0.27%    +0.27%    -0.75%
              S2: 1.5940                      R2: 1.6065

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
9|P a g e
GBP/SGD: 1.8585
          24-HOUR VIEW
 GBP could strengthen further but 1.8665 is unlikely to come into the picture.
 The sudden surge in GBP that sent it rocketing to 1.8616 came as a surprise. While clearly overbought, GBP could strengthen further
 even though the major resistance at 1.8665 is unlikely to come into the picture (1.8630 is already quite a strong level). Support is at 1.8540
 followed by 1.8510.

          1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Risk has shifted to the upside but any advance in GBP is expected to face solid resistance at 1.8665.
 We noted yesterday (19 Apr, spot 1.8400) that the outlook is mixed and we expected GBP to “trade between 1.8300 and 1.8540 for now”.
 The sudden surge in GBP to 1.8616 was unexpected. While the strong advance has shifted the risk to the upside, any advance is expected
 to face solid resistance at 1.8665. Looking ahead, GBP has to close above this level before a move towards 1.8770 can be expected. On
 the downside, a breach of 1.8460 (‘strong support’ level) would indicate that the upside risk has dissipated.

          1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 Overbought rally has room to extend but it is left to be seen if GBP/SGD can maintain a foothold above the 2018 peak of 1.8815. Next
 resistance is at 1.9000. (dated 19 Mar 2020, 1.8700) Read more

          LEVELS
                                                                                    Ranges 19 Apr 21                     Percentage change
                Support                           Resistance
                                                                            Open     High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
               S1: 1.8510                         R1: 1.8630
                                                                           1.8429   1.8616   1.8418    1.8601   +0.81%   +0.97%    -0.03%    +2.99%
               S2: 1.8460                         R2: 1.8665

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
10 | P a g e
AUD/SGD: 1.0335
          24-HOUR VIEW
 Bias is for AUD to strengthen but the major resistance at 1.0380 is likely out of reach.
 We highlighted yesterday that AUD “could test 1.0275”. AUD subsequently dropped to 1.0279, soared to 1.0361 before easing off. While
 the bias for today is for AUD to strengthen, the major resistance at 1.0380 is likely out of reach. Support is at 1.0305 followed by 1.0280.

          1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Momentum has improved somewhat but any advance in AUD is expected to face solid resistance at 1.0380.
 We have expected AUD to “trade with an upward bias” since last week (see annotations in the chart below). Since then, AUD has not been
 able to make much headway on the upside and yesterday (19 Apr, spot at 1.0305), we noted that AUD “has to move and stay above 1.0250
 within these few days or the chance for a move to 1.0380 would diminish quickly”. AUD subsequently rose to 1.0361 before easing off.
 While momentum has improved somewhat, any advance in AUD is expected to face solid resistance at 1.0380. On the downside, a break
 of 1.0250 (no change in ‘strong support’ level) would indicate that the upside risk has dissipated.

          1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 AUD/SGD could strengthen but lackluster momentum suggests odds for a sustained rise above the 2018 peak of 1.0630 are not high.
 (dated 19 Mar 2021, 1.0490) Read more

          LEVELS
                                                                                   Ranges 19 Apr 21                     Percentage change
                Support                          Resistance
                                                                          Open      High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
               S1: 1.0280                        R1: 1.0380
                                                                          1.0300   1.0361   1.0279    1.0321   +0.04%   +0.99%    -0.63%    +1.55%
               S2: 1.0250                        R2: 1.0410

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
11 | P a g e
JPY/SGD: 1.2265
          24-HOUR VIEW
 Outlook is mixed; JPY could trade between 1.2245 and 1.2320.
 We highlighted yesterday that “there is room for JPY to test 1.2300”. We added, “the next resistance at 1.2315 is not expected to come
 into the picture”. However, JPY popped to 1.2322 before easing off to close at 1.2297. The rapid swings have resulted in a mixed outlook.
 For today, JPY could trade in a choppy manner between 1.2245 and 1.2320.

         1-3 WEEKS VIEW
 Further JPY strength is not ruled out but prospect for a move to 1.2350 is not high.
 We have expected JPY to “trade with an upside bias towards 1.2315” since last week (see annotations in the chart below). While JPY
 popped to 1.2322 yesterday (19 Apr), it was unable to hold on to its gains. Further JPY strength is not ruled out but in view of the lackluster
 momentum, the prospect for a move to 1.2350 is not high. On the downside, a break of 1.2230 (no change in ‘strong support’ level) would
 indicate that the upside risk has dissipated.

          1-3 MONTHS VIEW
 JPY/SGD could breach the 2020 low of 1.2200; chance for decline to extend to the 2019 low of 1.2060 is not high. (dated 19 Mar 2021,
 1.2330) Read more

          LEVELS
                                                                                    Ranges 19 Apr 21                     Percentage change
                Support                           Resistance
                                                                           Open      High     Low      Close     1D        1W       1M        YTD
               S1: 1.2245                         R1: 1.2320
                                                                           1.2261   1.2322   1.2258    1.2297   +0.28%   +0.33%    -0.18%    -3.86%
               S2: 1.2230                         R2: 1.2350

FX Insights
Tuesday, 20 April 2021
12 | P a g e
UOB FX & Interest Rate Outlook
     FX Outlook         2Q21          3Q21           4Q21                1Q22        Rates Outlook                  2Q21             3Q21                 4Q21             1Q22

   EUR/USD              1.18           1.19           1.20               1.20               EU                     0.00%             0.00%            0.00%                0.00%
   GBP/USD              1.38           1.40           1.41               1.42               UK                     0.10%             0.10%            0.10%                0.10%
   AUD/USD              0.77           0.78           0.79               0.79               AU                     0.10%             0.10%            0.10%                0.10%
   NZD/USD              0.72           0.73           0.74               0.74               NZ                     0.25%             0.25%            0.25%                0.25%
   USD/JPY               109           108            107                107                JP                     -0.10%           -0.10%            -0.10%               -0.10%
   USD/SGD              1.35           1.33           1.32               1.32        SG (3M SOR)                   0.25%             0.25%            0.25%                0.25%
   USD/MYR              4.15           4.10           4.05               4.05               MY                     1.75%             1.75%            1.75%                1.75%
   USD/THB              31.10         31.20          31.50               31.50              TH                     0.50%             0.50%            0.50%                0.75%
   USD/CNY              6.55           6.50           6.40               6.40               CN                     3.85%             3.85%            3.85%                3.85%
   USD/IDR             14,600        14,700          14,800             14,800              ID                     3.50%             3.50%            3.50%                3.75%
   USD/PHP              48.50         48.20          48.00               48.00              PH                     2.00%             2.00%            2.00%                2.00%
   USD/INR              74.00         74.50          75.00               75.50              IN                     4.00%             4.00%            4.00%                4.00%
   USD/TWD              28.50         28.30          28.20               28.20              TW                     1.13%             1.13%            1.13%                1.13%
   USD/HKD              7.75           7.75           7.75               7.75               HK                     0.50%             0.50%            0.50%                0.50%
   USD/KRW              1,150         1,130          1,100               1,100              KR                     0.50%             0.50%            0.50%                0.50%
                                                                                            US                     0.25%             0.25%            0.25%                0.25%

  Last updated on 31 Mar 21: Potent Fiscal Forces To Fuel More USD Uncertainty
  Last Updated on 19 Mar 21: From Reflation Bliss To Inflation Woes

   Central Bank Meetings 2021
   Central Bank                                        Jan         Feb      Mar      Apr         May       Jun            Jul   Aug          Sep          Oct    Nov        Dec
   Federal Reserve (FOMC)                               27          -        17*      28              -    16*            28         -          22*        -         03         15*
   European Central Bank (ECB)                          21          -          11     22              -        06         22         -          09        28          -         16
   Bank of England (BOE)                                 -         04#         18      -             06#       24          -    05#             23         -     04#            16
   Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)                       -         02          02     06             04        01         07        03          07        05         02         07
   Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)                    -         24^           -    14             26^       -          14        18^          -        06         24^         -
   Bank of Japan (BOJ)                                 21**         -          19    27**             -        18      16**          -          22    28**            -     17**
   Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS)                 -          -            -    14              -        -           -         -           -        tba         -          -
   Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM)                           20          -          04      -             06        -          08         -          09         -         03          -
   Bank of Thailand (BOT)                                -         03          24      -             05        23          -        04          29         -         10         22
   Bank Indonesia (BI)                                  23         18          18     14             19        18         16        19          17        13         19         17
   Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP)                     -         11          25      -             13        23          -        12          23         -         11         16
   Bank of Korea (BOK)                                  15         25           -     15             27         -         15        26           -        12         25          -
   Taiwan Central Bank (CBC)                             -          -       18         -              -        17          -         -          23         -          -         16
   Reserve Bank of India (RBI)                           -          5            -    07         -         -          -         -           -         -          -          -

 *Meetings associated with a Summary of Economic Projections.
 #
  Meetings associated with release of Monetary Policy Report.
 ^Meetings associated with release of Monetary Policy Statement.
 **Meetings associated with release of Outlook Report.

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Tuesday, 20 April 2021
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Tuesday, 20 April 2021
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