CORPORATE PRESENTATION AUGUST 2021 - TSX: BNE - Bonterra Energy Corp.

Page created by Sara Armstrong
 
CONTINUE READING
CORPORATE PRESENTATION AUGUST 2021 - TSX: BNE - Bonterra Energy Corp.
CORPORATE PRESENTATION
                         TSX: BNE
AUGUST 2021

                                    1
CORPORATE PRESENTATION AUGUST 2021 - TSX: BNE - Bonterra Energy Corp.
Corporate Snapshot

 Financial                                    TSX: BNE
 Common Shares Outstanding                   33.7 million
 Insider Ownership                               15%
 Tax Pools at June 30, 2021                  $444 million
 Tax Horizon                                    ~2023
 Q2 2021 Net Debt                            $319 million
 Bank Line                                   $265 million
     Drawn                                   $244 million at Q2 2021
 Operational
 Oil and Liquids Production Weighting            67%
 Natural Gas Production Weighting                35%
 Average Corporate Production Decline Rate     ~19.5%
 Reserve Life Index (PDP)                      9 years
 Reserve Life Index (1P)                       20 years
 Reserve Life Index (2P)                       24 years

                                                                       2
CORPORATE PRESENTATION AUGUST 2021 - TSX: BNE - Bonterra Energy Corp.
Focused on Free Funds Flow Generation
Bonterra’s focus will remain on generating strong, sustainable, free funds flow which can
be directed to debt reduction and capital spending when supported by commodity prices

                           DISCRETIONARY             As debt is reduced, focus on generating long-term,
                               CAPITAL                                                sustainable value
                            ALLOCATION

                                       DEBT                    Excess free cash flow will be directed to
                                                                                            reduce debt
                                    REPAYMENT

                                                                    Low corporate decline rate ensures
                                          FREE CASH FLOW            minimal capital required to sustain
                                            GENERATION                     production, which supports
                                                                            maximizing free cash flow

                                                                                                       3
CORPORATE PRESENTATION AUGUST 2021 - TSX: BNE - Bonterra Energy Corp.
Forecast Activity Levels 2021-2022
       Focused on accelerated value creation by deploying $70 - $75 Million to Bonterra’s drilling
       program and abandonment initiatives

     PLANNED DRILL PROGRAM (1)                                                   PLANNED ABANDONMENT PROGRAM (1)
                                                                                                                       36

             Net Well Count (On Production)                                                      Net Well Count (Abandoned)
16                                                                                    90
14                                                                                    80
                                                                                      70   84
12    14
                                                                                      60              67
10
                                                                                      50
8                           10            10                                                    53
                                                                                      40
6                    8                                                                                                       46
                                                                                      30
4             6                                           6      6                    20
                                                                                                                                            35
                                                                                                                                    27
2                                                                                     10                      17
0
                                                  2                                    0
                                                                                                                                                    9

                  30%
                  Production growth forecast
                                                                                                     60%
                                                                                                     Inactive well count reduction forecast
                  supported in part by deployment of BDC term debt                                   by end of Q1 2022, supported in part by Alberta’s
                                                                                                     Site Rehabilitation Program

(1) 2022 plans are preliminary in nature and do not reflect board approved guidance                                                                      4
CORPORATE PRESENTATION AUGUST 2021 - TSX: BNE - Bonterra Energy Corp.
Forecast Production
       Ramping production into constructive pricing to generate significant free funds flow

                                                                                      (1)

                   SHUT IN PRODUCTION

                     2020 CAPEX SUSPENDED                 $45 MILLION
                                                    BDC FINANCING DEPLOYED

(1) 2022 plans are preliminary in nature and do not reflect board approved guidance           5
2021 - 2022 Funds Flow Analysis
        Positioned to generate significant free funds flow while meaningfully deleveraging over the
        next two years
                       YEAR                                                        2021
                       ESTIMATED PRODUCTION                         boe/d         12,800
                       OIL & LIQUID RATIO                           %              66%

                       PRICE SCENARIO                                             STRIP      $60 WTI     65 WTI      70 WTI      75 WTI
                       AVERAGE ANNUAL BNE REALIZED PRICE            $/bbl         74.18       65.50       71.75       78.00       84.25
                       FUNDS FLOW                                   MM$C           106          88          99        109         119
                       CAPEX Inc. ABANDONMENTS                      MM$C           (79)        (79)        (79)        (79)        (79)
                       FREE FUNDS FLOW                              MM$C            26          9           19          30          40
                       DEBT/CASH FLOW                               ratio          2.69        3.41        2.95        2.57        2.28

                       YEAR                                                        2022
                       ESTIMATED PRODUCTION                         boe/d         13,500
                       OIL & LIQUID RATIO                           %              67%

                       PRICE SCENARIO                                             STRIP      $60 WTI     65 WTI      70 WTI      75 WTI
                       AVERAGE ANNUAL BNE REALIZED PRICE            $/bbl         73.03       65.50       71.75       78.00       84.25
                       FUNDS FLOW                                   MM$C           145         123        139         152         164
                       CAPEX Inc. ABANDONMENTS                      MM$C           (47)        (46)        (47)        (50)        (50)
                       FREE FUNDS FLOW                              MM$C            98          77          92        102         114
                       DEBT/CASH FLOW                               ratio          1.28        1.82        1.44        1.17        0.96

(1) Price Assumptions: Edmonton light differential: -U$5.00; FX: 0.80 CAD/US; Quality adjustment -C$3.25/bbl; BNE Realized Gas $3.00/mcf; BNE Realized Liquids:
    58% of realized oil
(2) 2022 plans are preliminary in nature and do not reflect board approved guidance                                                                               6
Free Funds Flow Sensitivity 2021 - 2022
                            Bonterra’s asset base generates significant free funds flow

                                                                                                         (3)
                                                                 FREE FUNDS FLOW       HEDGE LOSS

                           $120

                                                                                                                                                  $114
                           $100
                                                                                                                                     $102
                                                                                                $98
  FREE FUNDS FLOW (MM$C)

                                                                                                                         $92
                            $80
                                                                        $36                                    $77
                            $60
                                                                $31

                            $40   $22
                                                   $25
                                                                        $40
                                           $20                  $30
                            $20   $26
                                                   $19
                                           $9
                             $0
                                  STRIP   $60      $65          $70     $75                   STRIP            $60       $65          $70          $75
                                                         2021                                                            2022

(1) Price Assumptions: Edmonton light differential: -U$5.00; FX: 0.80 CAD/US; Quality adjustment -C$3.25/bbl; BNE Realized Gas $3.00/mcf; BNE Realized Liquids:
    58% of realized oil
(2) 2022 plans are preliminary in nature and do not reflect board approved guidance
(3) 30% of Pre-Royalty volumes hedged as per bank covenant                                                                                                        7
Forecast – Debt Structure and Price Sensitivity
                 Significant torque to oil prices amplifies efforts to deleverage when combined with increasing production

                                                       Bank Debt         BDC Debt       Sub Debt        D/CF
               $350                                                                                                                                       7.0

               $300                                                                                                                                       6.0
                               $20
                      $20               $20
                               $46                    $20
                                        $46                       $20
               $250   $46                             $46                                                                                                 5.0
                                                                  $46
                              $236                                                                      $20

                                                                                                                                                                DEBT/CASH FLOW
                      $219              $225
 DEBT (MM$C)

               $200                                   $215                                                                                                4.0
                                                                 $205                                   $45          $20
                                                                                           $20
                                                                                                                     $45          $20
               $150             3.4                                                        $45                                                $20         3.0
                                                                                                        $160                      $45
                                         2.9                                                                                                  $45
                      2.7                                                                                           $135
                                                      2.6                                  $122
               $100                                                                                                              $114                     2.0
                                                                   2.3
                                                                                                         1.8                                  $92
               $50                                                                                                    1.4                                 1.0
                                                                                            1.3                                   1.2
                                                                                                                                               1.0
                $0                                                                                                                                        -
                      STRIP    $60       $65          $70         $75                      STRIP         $60         $65          $70          $75
                                               2021                                                                  2022

(1) Price Assumptions: Edmonton light differential: -U$5.00; FX: 0.80 CAD/US; Quality adjustment -C$3.25/bbl; BNE Realized Gas $3.00/mcf; BNE Realized Liquids:
    58% of realized oil
(2) 2022 plans are preliminary in nature and do not reflect board approved guidance                                                                                              8
Deep Drilling Inventory
Concentrated assets in the Pembina Cardium oil pool support efficient operations and offer exposure
to significant upside through a large inventory of low-risk, highly economic undrilled locations

                                                       Pembina & Willesden Green
                                                         Lands by the Numbers1
Cynthia
          West
          Pembina
                                    Keystone         473 gross
                                                     Sections of land (312 net)

                               Carnwood
                                                                                                  92%
                                                                                                  Operated Production
                 Blue Rose
                Rapids Creek                         93.9 MBOE
                                                      P+P Reserves

                                                                                                 294 net
                                                                                                  Booked locations
                       Willesden Green               700+ net
                                                     Internally identified multi-
                                                     zone locations
                                                                                                  24 years
                                                                                                  Reserve Life Index (P+P)
             Ferrier

                                                    (1) See “Drilling Locations” located in the advisories of this presentation   9
Pembina Cardium Features
  Original-Oil-in-Place per Section                              Recovery Factor
                                  0 to 5,000 Mbbl                                            0%
                                  5,000 to 10,000 Mbbl                                       5%
                                  10,000 to 20,000 Mbbl                                      10%
                                  20,000 to 25,000 Mbbl                                      15%
                                  25,000+ Mbbl                                               20%
                                                                                             25%

• Pembina is the largest conventional oilfield in Canada with large oil-in-place and low recovery
   to date, offering long-term stable production, high-quality oil and attractive netbacks
• Majority of Bonterra land covers areas with significant remaining original-oil-in-place
• Opportunity to increase recovery factors can contribute to sizable increases in reserves and
   production

                                                                                                    10
Pembina Cardium Geology

                                                                                         Shale

                                                                                         Conglomerate

                                                                                         Sandstone

                                                                                         Bioturbated
                                                                                         Mudstone

                                                                                         Sandstone

                                                                                         Shale

• Interbedded sandstone and shale with local conglomerate and prevalent underlying low
   permeability bioturbated mudstone
• Depths range from 1,200m TVD in NE Pembina to 2,000m TVD in SW Pembina

                                                                                                 11
Average BNE Cardium Economics
              Cardium wells are repeatable, predictable and generate strong returns

        200

                                                                                                                     Reserves per well (MBOE)                    140
        150
                                                                                                                     IP (12 months) (boe/d)                      110
BOE/D

        100

        50

         0
              1      2    3    4    5      6      7      8      9     10     11     12     13     14    15     16     17     18     19     20     21     22     23     24

                  BNE Type Curve: Full Cycle Capital and Price Sensitivities

                  WTI                                 $USD/bbl                    $ 60.00                 $ 65.00                  $ 70.00                    $ 75.00
                  BNE Realized Price (1,2)            $CAD/bbl                    $ 65.50                 $ 71.75                  $ 78.00                    $ 84.25
                  DCET(3)                               M$C                       $ 1,900                 $ 2,000                  $ 2,100                    $ 2,100
                  BT Payout                             Years                         1.2                     1.1                      1.0                        0.9
                  Rate of Return                          %                          84%                     95%                     107%                       135%
                  BT NPV10                              M$C                       $ 1,544                 $ 1,760                  $ 1,988                    $ 2,276
                  Recycle Ratio                                                       2.3                     2.4                      2.5                         2.7

 (1) Realized Oil Price calculated as follows: (WTI Oil Price – Differential) x FX rate – (Quality Adjustment)
 (2) Assumptions: Edmonton light differential: -U$5.00; FX: 0.80 CAD/US; Quality adjustment -C$3.25/bbl; BNE Realized Gas $3.00/mmBtu; BNE Realized Liquids: 58% of realized oil
 (3) Drill, Complete, Equip, Tie-In & Facilities
                                                                                                                                                                               12
Our Responsibility – Environmental, Social and Governance
HEALTH, SAFETY AND ENVIRONMENT (HS&E)
  •   Apply minimal disturbance drilling techniques to reduce the overall impact to the environment
  •   99% routine gas conservation
  •   Fugitive emission leak detection program in place to identify leaks or unintended release of gases with testing completed on 100%
      of facilities
  •   Installation of vapor recovery units since 2015 to eliminate emissions from tank farms
  •   Provide timely and effective responses to any incidents that may occur, enabling rapid recoveries and conducting thorough incident
      investigations - over 90% of spills are identified in less than 12 hours and with adverse impact or no claims through insurance
  •   Employ a vigorous asset integrity program to ensure the safe operation of our assets – 100% visual review of all pipelines along
      with scheduled annual testing of 100% of high risk/high consequence pipelines

SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY
  •   Consult with internal and external stakeholders who are impacted by our operations and remain committed to working with
      involved parties to resolve any concerns or questions that may arise
  •   Winner of 2020 Pro-Local Award as a Company that has proven for years that it cares and supports Drayton Valley with support of
      local oil field services
  •   Member of Explorers and Producers Association of Canada (EPAC) supporting Canada’s conventional energy producers and industry
      employees across Western Canada

PRIORITIZING CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
  •   Refreshed Board including new members, Ms. McDonald, Ms. Ricci, Mr. Campbell and Mr. Stewart with complementary
      backgrounds
  •   Diverse board membership
  •   All Board committees (Audit; Policy, Governance, Nominations; Compensation; Reserves) are 100% independent
  •   Our governance policies include written documents such as a Code of Conduct, Staff Disclosure Policy, and a Whistleblower Policy
                                                                                                                                           13
Strategy: Positioned for Success
Our proven track record has been built on a model of generating long-term, sustainable value
through disciplined capital allocation aligned with prevailing commodity prices

                                                        Insiders own ~15%
                 Experienced
                  & Aligned
                 Management

                                   Low                  Industry low ~19.5% decline
                                Corporate
                               Decline Rate
           Shareholder
              Value
             Creation
                               Reducing                 Corporate strategy of allocating all
                                 Debt                   free cash flow to debt repayment

                   Low-Risk
                    Drilling
                  Inventory                             700+ net locations identified, 296
                                                        Net locations booked
                                                                                               14
Appendix
           15
Risk Management / Hedge Strategy
                                         WTI CRUDE OIL HEDGE                                                        HEDGE STRATEGY
      PERIOD            INSTRUMENT        CURRENCY     VOLUME (bbl)   FLOOR ($/bbl) CEILING ($/bbl)
JUN 2021 - DEC 2021    COSTLESS COLLAR       USD           2,250         $36.67          $48.71
                                                                                                       Target to hedge 30% of pre-royalty volumes
JAN 2022 - MAR 2022 COSTLESS COLLAR          USD           2,000         $48.00          $66.14            Fulfill bank hedge covenant
APR 2022 - JUNE 2022 COSTLESS COLLAR         USD           500           $48.00          $74.42            Protect Bonterra cash costs
                                     MSW OIL DIFFERENTIAL HEDGE
                                                                                                           Protect free funds flow
      PERIOD            INSTRUMENT        CURRENCY     VOLUME (bbl)   PRICE ($/bbl)
JUN 2021 - DEC 2021        FIXED             CAD           2,000         -$7.45
JAN 2022 - MAR 2022        FIXED             CAD           1250          -$6.28
APR 2022 - JUN 2022        FIXED             CAD           1,000         -$6.55
APR 2022 - JUN 2022        FIXED             USD           800           -$5.06

                                      AECO NATURAL GAS HEDGE
      PERIOD            INSTRUMENT        CURRENCY      VOLUME (gj)    PRICE ($/gj)
 JUN 2021 - OCT 2021       FIXED             CAD           7,300          $2.54
NOV 2021 - DEC 2021        FIXED             CAD           7,300          $2.40
JAN 2022 - MAR 2022        FIXED             CAD           7,500          $2.84
 APR 2022 - JUN 2022       FIXED             CAD           2,000          $2.40
      PERIOD            INSTRUMENT        CURRENCY      VOLUME (gj)   FLOOR ($/gj)    CEILING ($/gj)
APR 2022 - JUN 2022    COSTLESS COLLAR       CAD           5,000          $2.00           $2.60
JUL 2022 - SEP 2021    COSTLESS COLLAR       CAD           5,000          $2.50           $3.15

                                                                                                                                                    16
Reserves Summary – December 31, 2020

                                                                                                                   NPV BT 10% (1)
         Reserve Category                                                               Oil (Mbbl)    BOE (Mboe)
                                                                                                                       (millions)
         Proved Developed Producing                                                          18,442       33,243         401,988

         Proved Developed Non-Producing                                                       1,748        2,571          21,224

         Proved Undeveloped                                                                  22,877       39,505         219,293

         Total Proved                                                                        43,067       75,319         642,505

         Proved + Probable Developed Producing                                               22,587       40,790         460,647

         Proved + Probable Developed Non- Producing                                           2,119        3,129          23,957

         Proved + Probable Undeveloped                                                       29,024       49,991         382,364

         Total Proved + Probable                                                             53,729       93,910         866,967

(1) Sproule Pricing at Dec 31, 2020 (https://sproule.com/price-forecast/forecast-archive/)
                                                                                                                                    17
Forward Looking Information
Certain statements contained in this Presentation include statements which contain words such as “anticipate”, “could”, “should”, “expect”, “seek”, “may”,
“intend”, “likely”, “will”, “believe” and similar expressions, statements relating to matters that are not historical facts, and such statements of our beliefs,
intentions and expectations about development, results and events which will or may occur in the future, constitute “forward-looking information” within the
meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation and are based on certain assumptions and analysis made by us derived from our experience and
perceptions. Forward-looking information in this Presentation includes, but is not limited to: expected cash provided by continuing operations; future capital
expenditures, including the amount and nature thereof; oil and natural gas prices and demand; expansion and other development trends of the oil and gas
industry; business strategy and outlook; expansion and growth of our combined business and operations; and maintenance of existing supplier and partner
relationships; supply channels; accounting policies; credit risks; and other such matters. Forward-looking information in this Presentation also includes, but is not
limited to, the timing and amount of future dividend payments by Bonterra.

All such forward-looking information is based on certain assumptions and analyses made by us in light of our experience and perception of historical trends,
current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors we believe are appropriate in the circumstances. The risks, uncertainties, and
assumptions are difficult to predict and may affect operations, and may include, without limitation: foreign exchange fluctuations; equipment and labour
shortages and inflationary costs; general economic conditions; industry conditions; changes in applicable environmental, taxation and other laws and regulations
as well as how such laws and regulations are interpreted and enforced; the ability of oil and natural gas companies to raise capital; the effect of weather
conditions on operations and facilities; the existence of operating risks; volatility of oil and natural gas prices; oil and gas product supply and demand; risks
inherent in the ability to generate sufficient cash flow from operations to meet current and future obligations; increased competition; stock market volatility;
opportunities available to or pursued by us; and other factors, many of which are beyond our control. The foregoing factors are not exhaustive.

Actual results, performance or achievements could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, this forward-looking information and, accordingly, no
assurance can be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking information will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits will be
derived there from. Except as required by law, Bonterra disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a
result of new information, future events or otherwise.

The term barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel
(6mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not
represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All BOE conversions in the report are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet
of gas to one barrel of oil.

The forward-looking information contained herein is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.

                                                                                                                                                                    18
Forward Looking Information
DRILLING LOCATIONS:
This presentation discloses drilling locations in three categories: (i) proved locations; (ii) probable locations; and (iii) unbooked locations. Proved locations and
probable locations, which are sometimes collectively referred to as “booked locations”, are derived from the Company’s most recent independent reserves evaluation
as prepared by Sproule as of December 31, 2020 and account for drilling locations that have associated proved or probable reserves, as applicable. Unbooked
locations are internal estimates based on the Company’s prospective acreage and an assumption as to the number of wells that can be drilled per section based on
industry practice and internal review. Unbooked locations do not have attributed reserves or resources. Of the 700+ Net drilling locations identified herein, 276 are
net proved locations, 20 are net probable locations and 400+ are net unbooked locations. Unbooked locations have specifically been identified by management as an
estimation of our multi-year drilling activities based on evaluation of applicable geologic, seismic, and engineering, production and reserves data on prospective
acreage and geologic formations. There is no certainty that we will drill all unbooked drilling locations and if drilled there is no certainty that such locations will result
in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The locations that Bonterra drills will ultimately depend upon the availability of capital, regulatory
approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling results and other factors. While certain of the unbooked drilling locations have been
derisked by drilling existing wells in relative close proximity to such unbooked drilling locations, the majority of other unbooked drilling locations are farther away from
existing wells where management has less information about the characteristics of the reservoir and therefore there is more uncertainty whether wells will be drilled
in such locations and if drilled there is more uncertainty that such wells will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production.

STRIP PRICE DECK – AUG 4, 2021:
                                   Jan-21   Feb-21    Mar-21    Apr-21   May-21    Jun-21    Jul-21   Aug-21    Sep-21    Oct-21   Nov-21    Dec-21     2021     2022
 Crude Oil - WTI         USD/bbl   $52.10   $59.06    $62.36    $61.70   $65.16    $71.35   $72.43    $70.63    $70.63    $70.09   $69.50    $68.85    $66.16   $65.38
 Differential            USD/bbl   -$5.78    -$5.68    -$4.26   -$2.34    -$3.11   -$3.89   -$4.73     -$3.41    -$4.20   -$4.20    -$4.25    -$4.30   -$4.18   -$4.45
 Exchange                CAD/USD    $0.79     $0.79     $0.80    $0.80     $0.82    $0.82     $0.80     $0.80     $0.80    $0.80     $0.80     $0.80   $0.800   $0.799
 Quality Adjustment      CAD/bbl   -$3.25    -$3.25    -$3.25   -$3.25    -$3.25   -$3.25   -$3.25     -$3.25    -$3.25   -$3.25    -$3.25    -$3.25   -$3.25   -$3.25
 Bonterra Realized Oil   CAD/bbl   $55.69   $64.53    $69.78    $70.91   $71.99    $79.20   $81.53    $80.91    $79.92    $79.24   $78.44    $77.57    $74.14   $73.03
 AECO Gas                $/gj       $2.60     $3.77     $2.58    $2.65     $2.93    $3.22     $3.74     $3.24     $3.53    $3.81     $4.04     $4.12    $3.35    $3.27

                                                                                                                                                                             19
Corporate Information
OFFICERS                               BANKS
George F. Fink                         CIBC
 CEO                                   National Bank of Canada
Robb D. Thompson                       The Toronto Dominion Bank
 CFO & Corporate Secretary
                                       Alberta Treasury Branches
Adrian Neumann
                                       Business Development Bank of Canada
 COO
                                       Export Development Canada
Brad A. Curtis
 Senior VP, Business Development
                                       INDEPENDENT RESERVE ENGINEER
                                       Sproule Associates Limited
DIRECTORS
Michael Stewart (Chair of the Board)   LEGAL COUNSEL
George F. Fink                         Borden Ladner Gervais LLP
Jacqueline R. Ricci
Jay J. Campbell                        AUDITORS
Rodger A. Tourigny                     Deloitte LLP
Stacey McDonald
                                       REGISTRAR & TRANSFER AGENT
                                       Odyssey Trust Company of Canada
HEAD OFFICE
Bonterra Energy Corp.                  STOCK EXCHANGE LISTING
Suite 901, 1015 – 4th St SW            TSX: BNE
Calgary, AB T2R 1J4
Phone: 403.262.5307

                                                                             20
You can also read