Colorectal cancer (update) - C7 Preoperative chemotherapy for non-metastatic colon cancer - NICE

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Colorectal cancer (update)
[C7] Preoperative chemotherapy for
non-metastatic colon cancer

NICE guideline NG151
Evidence reviews
January 2020

                                                    Final

                   Developed by the National Guideline
                   Alliance part of the Royal College of
                      Obstetricians and Gynaecologists
FINAL

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ISBN: 978-1-4731-3657-1
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Preoperative chemotherapy in non-metastatic colon cancer

Contents
Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative
   chemotherapy?............................................................................................................. 6
      Review question ............................................................................................................. 6
              Introduction ........................................................................................................... 6
              Summary of the protocol ....................................................................................... 6
              Methods and process ............................................................................................ 7
              Clinical evidence ................................................................................................... 7
              Summary of clinical studies included in the evidence review ................................. 8
              Quality assessment of clinical outcomes included in the evidence review ............. 8
              Economic evidence ............................................................................................... 8
              Economic model .................................................................................................... 8
              Evidence statements ............................................................................................. 9
              The committee’s discussion of the evidence........................................................ 11
              References .......................................................................................................... 13
Appendices ........................................................................................................................ 14
      Appendix A – Review protocol ...................................................................................... 14
              Review protocol for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon
                    cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy? .......................... 14
      Appendix B – Literature search strategies .................................................................... 19
              Literature search strategies for review question: Which people with non-
                      metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative
                      chemotherapy? ........................................................................................ 19
      Appendix C – Clinical evidence study selection ............................................................ 21
              Clinical study selection for review question: Which people with non-metastatic
                      colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy? ................. 21
      Appendix D – Clinical evidence tables .......................................................................... 22
              Clinical evidence tables for review question: Which people with non-metastatic
                      colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy? ................. 22
      Appendix E – Forest plots............................................................................................. 29
              Forest plots for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon
                     cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy? .......................... 29
      Appendix F – GRADE tables ........................................................................................ 33
              GRADE tables for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon
                   cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy? .......................... 33
      Appendix G – Economic evidence study selection ........................................................ 37
              Economic evidence study selection for review question: Which people with
                   non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative
                   chemotherapy .......................................................................................... 37
      Appendix H – Economic evidence tables ...................................................................... 38

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Preoperative chemotherapy in non-metastatic colon cancer

           Economic evidence tables for review question: Which people with non-
                metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy .. 38
    Appendix I – Economic evidence profiles ..................................................................... 39
           Economic evidence profiles for review question: Which people with non-
                metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative
                chemotherapy? ........................................................................................ 39
    Appendix J – Economic analysis .................................................................................. 40
           Economic analysis for review question: Which people with non-metastatic
                colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy? ................. 40
    Appendix K – Excluded studies .................................................................................... 41
           Excluded clinical studies for review question: Which people with non-
                 metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative
                 chemotherapy? ........................................................................................ 41
    Appendix L – Research recommendations ................................................................... 45
           Research recommendations for review question: Which people with non-
                 metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative
                 chemotherapy? ........................................................................................ 45
    Appendix M – Expert evidence ..................................................................................... 46
           Expert evidence for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon
                  cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy? .......................... 46

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      Preoperative chemotherapy in non-metastatic colon cancer

 1    Which people with non-metastatic co-
 2    lon cancer would benefit from preoper-
 3    ative chemotherapy?
 4    This evidence review supports recommendation 1.3.13.

 5   Review question
 6    Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative
 7    chemotherapy?

 8 Introduction
 9    Localised and resectable non-metastatic colon cancer has traditionally required an
10    aggressive therapeutic approach through complete oncologic resection with post-op-
11    erative chemotherapy, with extensive surgical resection needed to achieve negative
12    margins. While preoperative chemotherapy is commonly used for localised oesopha-
13    geal, gastric and rectal cancers, its use is not well-established for colon cancer as of
14    yet. Preoperative chemotherapy has the potential to provide earlier and more effec-
15    tive eradication of occult micrometastatic disease, minimise the extent of surgery and
16    debulk tumours to reduce the frequency of tumour cell shedding during surgery.
17    Therefore, the aim of this review was to determine which people with non-metastatic
18    colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy.

19 Summary of the protocol
20    Please see Table 1 for a summary of the population, intervention, comparison and
21    outcomes (PICO) characteristics of this review.

22    Table 1: Summary of the protocol (PICO table)
        Population                      Adults with localised, resectable, non-metastatic colon cancer

                                        Non-metastatic cancer defined as:
                                        • Tany N1-2
                                        • T3
                                        • T4
                                        • M0

                                        Subgroups by:
                                        • Disease characteristics:
                                          o Radiological T stage
                                          o Radiological N stage
                                        • Tumour location
                                        • Colonic obstruction status (no/complete/partly)
        Intervention                    Preoperative chemotherapy

        Comparison                      No preoperative chemotherapy

        Outcomes                        Critical
                                        • Disease-free survival

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                                        • Overall survival
                                        • Resection margins

                                        Important
                                        • Any grade 3 or 4 adverse events
                                        • Overall quality of life
                                        • Treatment-related mortality
                                        • Local recurrence

 1    For further details see the review protocol in appendix A.

 2 Methods and process
 3    This evidence review was developed using the methods and process described in
 4    Developing NICE guidelines: the manual 2014. Methods specific to this review ques-
 5    tion are described in the review protocol in appendix A.
 6    Declarations of interest were recorded according to NICE’s 2014 conflicts of interest
 7    policy until 31 March 2018. From 1 April 2018, declarations of interest were recorded
 8    according to NICE’s 2018 conflicts of interest policy. Those interests declared until
 9    April 2018 were reclassified according to NICE’s 2018 conflicts of interest policy (see
10    Register of Interests).

11 Clinical evidence

12 Included studies
13    Two studies were included in this review (FOxTROT trial [Agbamu 2012]; Dehal
14    2017).
15    The clinical studies included in this evidence review are summarised in Table 2.
16    One pilot RCT (FOxTROT 2012 [Agbamu 2012]) compared preoperative chemother-
17    apy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy to surgery + postoperative chemother-
18    apy and 1 retrospective cohort study (Dehal 2017) compared preoperative chemo-
19    therapy + surgery to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.

20 Expert evidence
21    The published evidence base is weak and relies on one retrospective study and the
22    pilot phase of the FOxTROT trial. The FOxTROT trial is an international, mainly UK-
23    based, phase III randomised trial that investigates the efficacy of neoadjuvant chem-
24    otherapy in colon cancer and is the only trial in the topic to date. The results from
25    FOxTROT were presented to the guideline committee as academic in confidence
26    data by one of the FOxTROT trialists as expert witness evidence. Where outcomes
27    were reported in both the pilot trial and expert evidence presentation, data from the
28    expert evidence presentation were used as these data were most recent and more
29    mature (longer follow-up). Since the expert witness presentation, the results of the
30    trial have been presented in a conference making them publicly available, although
31    not peer-reviewed.
32    See the summary of expert evidence in appendix M.

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 1 Excluded studies
 2    Studies not included in this review and their reasons for exclusion are listed in appen-
 3    dix K.

 4 Summary of clinical studies included in the evidence review

 5    Table 2: Summary of included studies
                                                         Intervention/Com-       Outcomes
       Study                    Population               parison
       FOxTROT trial            N=150 patients with      Preoperative chemo-     • Grade 3 or 4 ad-
                                locally advanced (T4     therapy + surgery +       verse events
       [Agbamu 2012]            or T3 with extramu-      postoperative chem-
                                ral depth ≥ 5mm) ad-     otherapy versus sur-
                                enocarcinoma of the      gery + postoperative
       Pilot RCT                colon with staging       chemotherapy
                                determined preoper-
       UK                       atively by either spi-
                                ral or multidetector
                                CT
       Dehal 2017               N=27,575 patients        Preoperative chemo-     • Overall survival
                                with clinically staged   therapy + surgery       • Positive resection
       Retrospective cohort     T3 or T4, non-meta-      versus surgery +          margins
       study                    static primary colon     postoperative chem-
                                cancer who had both      otherapy
       US                       surgery and chemo-
                                therapy and a tu-
                                mour with a mucin-
                                ous, signet ring cell,
                                or adenocarcinoma
 6    CT: computed tomography; N: number; RCT: randomised controlled trial; T: tumour stage

 7    See the full evidence tables in appendix D and the forest plots in appendix E.

 8 Quality assessment of clinical outcomes included in the evidence review
 9    See the clinical evidence profiles in appendix F.

10 Economic evidence

11 Included studies
12    A systematic review of the economic literature was conducted but no economic stud-
13    ies were identified which were applicable to this review question.

14 Excluded studies
15    A global search of economic evidence was undertaken for all review questions in this
16    guideline. See Supplement 2 for further information.

17 Economic model
18    No economic modelling was undertaken for this review because the committee
19    agreed that other topics were higher priorities for economic evaluation.

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1 Evidence statements

2 Clinical evidence statements

3 Comparison 1: Preoperative chemotherapy versus no preoperative chemother-
4   apy

5    Critical outcomes

6    Disease-free survival
7    No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.

8    Overall survival
9    T3 patients
10   • Very low quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort study (N=27,575) showed
11     no clinically important difference in 3-year overall survival between those receiving
12     preoperative chemotherapy + surgery compared to surgery + postoperative chem-
13     otherapy.
14   T4a patients
15   • Very low quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort study (N=27,575) showed
16     no clinically important difference in 3-year overall survival between those receiving
17     preoperative chemotherapy + surgery compared to surgery + postoperative chem-
18     otherapy.
19   T4b patients
20   • Very low quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort study (N=27,575) showed a
21     clinically important increase in 3-year overall survival between those receiving pre-
22     operative chemotherapy + surgery compared to surgery + postoperative chemo-
23     therapy.

24   Resection margins
25   T4b patients
26   • Very low quality evidence from 1 retrospective cohort study (N=27,575) showed a
27     clinically important decrease in resection margins between those receiving pre-
28     operative chemotherapy + surgery compared to surgery + postoperative chemo-
29     therapy.

30   Important outcomes

31   Any Grade 3 or 4 adverse events
32   Grade ≥3 adverse events
33   • Very low quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=150) showed no clinically important dif-
34     ference in Grade ≥3 adverse events within 6, 12, 18, or 24 weeks between those
35     receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy
36     compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
37   Anastomotic leak
38   • More recent data for this outcome were available in the expert evidence summary.

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 1    Wound infection with or without intra-abdominal abscess
 2    • Very low quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=150) showed no clinically important dif-
 3      ference in wound infection with or without intra-abdominal abscess between those
 4      receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy
 5      compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.
 6    Bronchopneumonia
 7    • Very low quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=150) showed no clinically important dif-
 8      ference in bronchopneumonia between those receiving preoperative chemother-
 9      apy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative
10      chemotherapy.
11    Deep vein thrombosis
12    • Very low quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=150) showed no clinically important dif-
13      ference in deep vein thrombosis between those receiving preoperative chemother-
14      apy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative
15      chemotherapy.
16    Neutropenia
17    • Very low quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=150) showed no clinically important dif-
18      ference in neutropenia between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + sur-
19      gery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative chemo-
20      therapy.

21    Overall quality of life
22    No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.

23    Treatment-related mortality
24    • More recent data for this outcome were available in the expert evidence summary.

25    Local recurrence
26    No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.

27 Expert evidence statements

28 Comparison 1: Preoperative chemotherapy versus no preoperative chemother-
29   apy

30    Critical outcomes

31    Disease-free survival
32    • Moderate quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=1052) showed a clinically important de-
33      crease in recurrence between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy + sur-
34      gery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative chemo-
35      therapy.

36    Overall survival
37    No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.

38    Resection margins
39    No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.

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 1    Important outcomes

 2    Any Grade 3 or 4 adverse events
 3    Anastomotic leak
 4    • Moderate quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=1052) showed a clinically important de-
 5      crease in anastomotic leak between those receiving preoperative chemotherapy +
 6      surgery + postoperative chemotherapy compared to surgery + postoperative
 7      chemotherapy.
 8    Wound infection with or without intra-abdominal abscess
 9    • No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
10    Bronchopneumonia
11    • No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.
12    Pulmonary embolism ± deep vein thrombosis
13    • No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.

14    Overall quality of life
15    No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.

16    Treatment-related mortality
17    • Moderate quality evidence from 1 RCT (N=1052) showed no clinically important
18      difference in treatment-related mortality (postoperative mortality) between those
19      receiving preoperative chemotherapy + surgery + postoperative chemotherapy
20      compared to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy.

21    Local recurrence
22    No evidence was identified to inform this outcome.

23 Economic evidence statements
24   No economic evidence was identified which was applicable to this review question.

25 The committee’s discussion of the evidence
26 Interpreting the evidence
27 The outcomes that matter most
28    Disease-free survival and overall survival were considered critical outcomes for deci-
29    sion making because disease progression suggests ineffective control of the local-
30    ised colon cancer, potentially requiring further treatment and affecting overall sur-
31    vival. Resection margins were also critical as they are indicative of whether further
32    treatment, likely surgical, is needed.
33    Quality of life was an important outcome because of the impact that different treat-
34    ment options can have on patients’ functioning and the potential long term adverse
35    effects. Any grade 3 or 4 adverse events and treatment-related mortality were also
36    important outcomes, as they are indicative of the complications of treatments. Addi-
37    tionally, local recurrence was an important outcome because lesions that extend into
38    surrounding structures and organs indicate the need for further surgical resection.

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 1 The quality of the evidence
 2    Evidence was available from 1 pilot RCT comparing preoperative chemotherapy +
 3    surgery + postoperative chemotherapy to surgery + postoperative chemotherapy and
 4    1 retrospective cohort study comparing preoperative chemotherapy + surgery to sur-
 5    gery + postoperative chemotherapy.
 6    Evidence was available for overall survival, resection margins, any grade 3 or 4 ad-
 7    verse events and treatment-related mortality. There was no evidence for quality of life
 8    or local recurrence. The quality of the evidence was assessed using GRADE and
 9    was of very low quality. The quality of evidence was downgraded because of meth-
10    odological limitations affecting the risk of bias and imprecision around the risk esti-
11    mate.
12    Methodological limitations leading to risk of bias were due to confounding from differ-
13    ences in baseline characteristics, lack of blinding and allocation concealment.
14    Indirectness in the study interventions was attributable to numerous protocol viola-
15    tions in both arms of the RCT that potentially diluted the effectiveness of the interven-
16    tions.

17    Uncertainty around the risk estimate was due to low event rates and small sample
18    sizes.

19    An expert witness presented academic in confidence results of the FoXTROT trial
20    which provided expert evidence for the comparison of preoperative chemotherapy +
21    surgery + postoperative chemotherapy versus surgery + postoperative surgery. Evi-
22    dence was available for disease-free survival, any grade 3 or 4 adverse events and
23    treatment-related mortality. This evidence was assessed using GRADE as moderate
24    quality.
25    The range in quality of the evidence and lack of evidence for many comparisons and
26    outcomes impacted the decision-making and the strength of the recommendation as
27    there was insufficient evidence to make a strong recommendation or to make recom-
28    mendations for all subgroups within the population.

29 Benefits and harms
30    The evidence indicated that there were benefits for disease-free survival, overall sur-
31    vival and clear resection margins for patients with more advanced (T4b) colonic tu-
32    mours who received preoperative chemotherapy. No benefit on overall survival was
33    found for patients with T3 or T4a colonic tumours. However, the committee agreed
34    that differentiating between T4a and T4b tumours would be difficult in preoperative
35    clinical staging (imaging), therefore, based on their clinical experience and
36    knowledge they agreed that the recommendation to consider preoperative therapy
37    should cover patients with T4 tumours.
38    While the expert evidence showed that there was a clinically important decrease in
39    anastomotic leak, otherwise the clinical evidence did not show any clinically im-
40    portant difference between treatment groups in terms of adverse events or treatment-
41    related mortality. From their clinical experience, the committee noted that there is a
42    potential for harm from increased surgical morbidity. The committee was not aware of
43    any evidence regarding treatment decision-making pertaining to the extent of surgical
44    resection (that is, whether decisions should be based on pre- or post-chemotherapy
45    imaging). However, they noted that most clinicians would base their decisions on the
46    extent of surgery on pre-chemotherapy imaging.

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 1 Cost effectiveness and resource use
 2    A systematic review of the economic literature was conducted but no relevant studies
 3    were identified which were applicable to this review question.
 4    The committee considered that the addition of preoperative chemotherapy would not
 5    increase costs for patients with T4 colon cancer as postoperative chemotherapy is
 6    current standard of care and costs between pre and post would be similar given the
 7    almost identical regimens. The committee acknowledged that preoperative chemo-
 8    therapy was already being done in some centres and that it would only represent a
 9    change for some centres. There would also be increases in overall survival and qual-
10    ity of life through reduced surgical morbidity.

11 Other factors the committee took into account
12    The committee acknowledged the FOxTROT trial, which compares preoperative plus
13    post-operative chemotherapy (+/- panitumumab) with standard post-operative chem-
14    otherapy. Results from the earlier feasibility trial (FOxTROT trial [Agbamu 2012])
15    were included in this review. Primary outcomes include 2-year recurrence-free sur-
16    vival and pathological down-staging and secondary outcomes include disease-spe-
17    cific survival and overall survival at 2 years and quality of life by EORTC QLQ C-30
18    and EuroQol EQ-5D before surgery, before the first post-operative chemotherapy
19    and 1 year post-randomisation. The committee considered expert evidence about the
20    unpublished results of the FOxTROT trial from the primary randomisation (preopera-
21    tive-and-postoperative chemotherapy versus standard postoperative chemotherapy)
22    to neoadjuvant treatment as data analysis for the substudy (patients with KRAS-wild
23    type tumours randomised 1:1 to preoperative-and-postoperative chemotherapy +/-
24    panitumumab) was not complete. Moderate quality evidence from the primary ran-
25    domisation phase showed that complete clinical response and tumour downstaging
26    are more likely in those who receive preoperative chemotherapy, although follow-up
27    is not yet long enough to assess long-term outcomes. The results presented to the
28    committee as academic in confidence were since presented at an international con-
29    ference. See more details in appendix M.

30 References
31    FOxTROT trial [Agbamu 2012]
32    Agbamu D, Day N, Walsh C, et al. (2012) Feasibility of preoperative chemotherapy
33    for locally advanced, operable colon cancer: The pilot phase of a randomised con-
34    trolled trial. Lancet Oncology 13(11): 1152-1160
35    Dehal 2017
36    Dehal A, Vuong B, Graff-Baker A, et al. (2017) Neoadjuvant chemotherapy improves
37    survival in patients with clinical T4B colon cancer. Gastroenterology 152 (5): S1209

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1    Appendices
2   Appendix A – Review protocol
3 Review protocol for review question: Which people with non-metastatic co-
4   lon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?

5    Table 3: Review protocol for pre-operative chemotherapy for people with non-
6              metastatic colon cancer
      Field (based on PRISMA)                        Content
      Review question in guideline                   Which people with non-metastatic colon can-
                                                     cer would benefit from preoperative chemo-
                                                     therapy?
      Type of review question                        Intervention
      Objective of the review                        To determine which people with non-meta-
                                                     static colon cancer would benefit from pre-
                                                     operative chemotherapy.
      Eligibility criteria – population/dis-         Adults with localised, resectable, non-meta-
      ease/condition/issue/domain                    static colon cancer

                                                     Non-metastatic cancer defined as:
                                                     • Tany N1-2
                                                     • T3
                                                     • T4
                                                     • M0

                                                     Subgroups according to (analysed sepa-
                                                     rately):
                                                     • Disease characteristics:
                                                       o Radiological T stage
                                                       o Radiological N stage
                                                     • Tumour location
                                                     • Colonic obstruction status (no/com-
                                                       plete/partly)
      Eligibility criteria – intervention(s)/expo-   Preoperative chemotherapy
      sure(s)/prognostic factor(s)
      Eligibility criteria – comparator(s)/control   No preoperative chemotherapy
      or reference (gold) standard
      Outcomes and prioritisation                    Critical outcomes:
                                                     • Disease-free survival (minimally important
                                                       difference [MID]: statistical significance)
                                                     • Overall survival (MID: statistical signifi-
                                                       cance)
                                                     • Resection margins (MID: statistical signifi-
                                                       cance)

                                                     Important outcomes:
                                                     • Any Grade 3 or 4 adverse events (MID: sta-
                                                       tistical significance)

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 Field (based on PRISMA)                    Content
                                            • Overall quality of life measured using vali-
                                              dated scales (MID: published MIDs from lit-
                                              erature, see below)
                                            • Treatment-related mortality (MID: statistical
                                              significance)
                                            • Local recurrence (MID: statistical signifi-
                                              cance)

                                            Quality of Life MIDs from the literature:
                                            • EORTC QLQ-C30: 5 points
                                            • EORTC QLQ-CR29: 5 points
                                            • EORTC QLQ-CR38: 5 points
                                            • EQ-5D: 0.09 using FACT-G quintiles
                                            • FACT-C: 5 points
                                            • FACT-G: 5 points
                                            • SF-12: > 3.77 for the mental component
                                              summary (MCS) and > 3.29 for the physical
                                              component summary (PCS) of the Short
                                              Form SF-12 (SF-12)
                                            • SF-36: > 7.1 for the physical functioning
                                              scale, > 4.9 for the bodily pain scale, and >
                                              7.2 for the PCS
 Eligibility criteria – study design        • Systematic reviews
                                            • Randomised controlled trials
                                            • Prospective or retrospective comparative
                                              cohort studies will only be considered if eligi-
                                              ble RCTs are not available
 Other inclusion exclusion criteria         Inclusion:
                                            • English-language
                                            • All settings will be considered that consider
                                              medications and treatments available in the
                                              UK
                                            • Studies published post-2005

                                            Studies conducted post-2005 will be consid-
                                            ered for this review question because the
                                            guideline committee considered that treatment
                                            techniques have evolved and evidence prior
                                            to 2005 would no longer be relevant.
 Proposed sensitivity/sub-group analysis,   Cohort studies should include multivariate
 or meta-regression                         analysis controlling for the following confound-
                                            ing factors:
                                            • Patient characteristics (i.e. age [life expec-
                                              tancy], comorbidities)
                                            • Type of chemotherapy
                                            • Tumour characteristics
                                              o T stage
                                              o Tumour location
 Selection process – duplicate screen-      Sifting, data extraction, appraisal of methodo-
 ing/selection/analysis                     logical quality and GRADE assessment will be
                                            performed by the systematic reviewer. Reso-
                                            lution of any disputes will be with the senior

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 Field (based on PRISMA)                        Content
                                                systematic reviewer and the Topic Advisor.
                                                Quality control will be performed by the senior
                                                systematic reviewer.

                                                Dual sifting will be undertaken for this ques-
                                                tion for a random 10% sample of the titles and
                                                abstracts identified by the search.
 Data management (software)                     Pairwise meta-analyses will be performed us-
                                                ing Cochrane Review Manager (RevMan5).
                                                ‘GRADEpro’ will be used to assess the quality
                                                of evidence for each outcome.

                                                NGA STAR software will be used for study
                                                sifting, data extraction, recording quality as-
                                                sessment using checklists and generating bib-
                                                liographies/citations.
 Information sources – databases and            Potential sources to be searched: Medline,
 dates                                          Medline In-Process, CCTR, CDSR, DARE,
                                                HTA, Embase
                                                Limits (e.g. date, study design):
                                                • Apply standard animal/non-English lan-
                                                  guage exclusion
                                                • Limit to RCTs and systematic reviews in first
                                                  instance, but download all results
                                                • Dates: from 2005
 Identify if an update                          Not an update
 Author contacts                                https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/indevelop-
                                                ment/gid-ng10060Developer: NGA
 Highlight if amendment to previous proto-      For details please see section 4.5 of Develop-
 col                                            ing NICE guidelines: the manual
 Search strategy – for one database             For details please see appendix B
 Data collection process – forms/duplicate      A standardised evidence table format will be
                                                used, and published as appendix D (clinical
                                                evidence tables) or H (economic evidence ta-
                                                bles).
 Data items – define all variables to be col-   For details please see evidence tables in ap-
 lected                                         pendix D (clinical evidence tables) or H (eco-
                                                nomic evidence tables).
 Methods for assessing bias at out-             Standard study checklists were used to criti-
 come/study level                               cally appraise individual studies. For details
                                                please see section 6.2 of Developing NICE
                                                guidelines: the manual

                                                Appraisal of methodological quality:
                                                The methodological quality of each study will
                                                be assessed using an appropriate checklist:
                                                • ROBIS for systematic reviews
                                                • Cochrane risk of bias tool for RCTs
                                                • ROBINS-I for non-randomised studies
                                                The quality of the evidence for an outcome
                                                (i.e. across studies) will be assessed using
                                                GRADE.

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 Field (based on PRISMA)                      Content

                                              The risk of bias across all available evidence
                                              was evaluated for each outcome using an ad-
                                              aptation of the ‘Grading of Recommendations
                                              Assessment, Development and Evaluation
                                              (GRADE) toolbox’ developed by the interna-
                                              tional GRADE working group
                                              http://www.gradeworkinggroup.org/
 Criteria for quantitative synthesis (where   For details please see section 6.4 of Develop-
 suitable)                                    ing NICE guidelines: the manual
 Methods for analysis – combining studies     Synthesis of data:
 and exploring (in)consistency                Pairwise meta-analysis of randomised trials
                                              will be conducted where appropriate.
                                              When meta-analysing continuous data, final
                                              and change scores will be pooled if baselines
                                              are comparable. If any studies report both, the
                                              method used in the majority of studies will be
                                              analysed.

                                              Minimally important differences:
                                              The guideline committee identified statistically
                                              significant differences as appropriate indica-
                                              tors for clinical significance for all outcomes
                                              except quality of life for which published MIDs
                                              from literature will be used (see outcomes
                                              section for more information).
 Meta-bias assessment – publication bias,     For details please see section 6.2 of Develop-
 selective reporting bias                     ing NICE guidelines: the manual.
                                              If sufficient relevant RCT evidence is availa-
                                              ble, publication bias will be explored using
                                              RevMan software to examine funnel plots.
 Assessment of confidence in cumulative       For details please see sections 6.4 and 9.1 of
 evidence                                     Developing NICE guidelines: the manual
 Rationale/context – Current management       For details please see the introduction to the
                                              evidence review.
 Describe contributions of authors and        A multidisciplinary committee developed the
 guarantor                                    guideline. The committee was convened by
                                              The NGA and chaired by Peter Hoskin in line
                                              with section 3 of Developing NICE guidelines:
                                              the manual.
                                              Staff from The National Guideline Alliance un-
                                              dertook systematic literature searches, ap-
                                              praised the evidence, conducted meta-analy-
                                              sis and cost-effectiveness analysis where ap-
                                              propriate, and drafted the guideline in collabo-
                                              ration with the committee. For details please
                                              see Supplement 1: methods.
 Sources of funding/support                   The NGA is funded by NICE and hosted by
                                              the Royal College of Obstetricians and Gy-
                                              naecologists
 Name of sponsor                              The NGA is funded by NICE and hosted by
                                              the Royal College of Obstetricians and Gy-
                                              naecologists

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      Field (based on PRISMA)                         Content
      Roles of sponsor                                NICE funds the NGA to develop guidelines for
                                                      those working in the NHS, public health, and
                                                      social care in England
      PROSPERO registration number                    Not registered
 1   CCTR: Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials; CDSR: Cochrane Database of Systematic Re-
 2   views; CENTRAL: Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials; DARE: Database of Abstracts of Re-
 3   views of Effects; EuroQol five dimensions questionnaire; EORTC QLQ-C30: European Organisation for
 4   Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire Core 30 Items; EORTC QLQ-CR29:
 5   European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire colorectal
 6   cancer module (29 items); EORTC QLQ-CR38: European Organisation for Research and Treatment of
 7   Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire colorectal cancer module (38 items); FACT-C: Functional Assess-
 8   ment of Cancer Therapy questionnaire (colorectal cancer); FACT-G: Functional Assessment of Cancer
 9   Therapy questionnaire (general); GRADE: Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development
10   and Evaluation; HTA: Health Technology Assessment; M0: no distant metastasis; MCS: mental compo-
11   nent summary; MID: minimally important difference; N: nodal stage; NGA: National Guideline Alliance;
12   NHS: National health service; NICE: National Institute for Health and Care Excellence; PCS: physical
13   component summary; RCT: randomised controlled trial; RevMan5: Review Manager version 5; RoB: risk
14   of bias; ROBINS-I: Risk Of Bias In Non-randomised Studies - of Interventions; ROBIS: risk of bias in
15   systematic reviews; SD: standard deviation; SF-12: 12-Item Short Form Survey; SF-36: 36-Item Short
16   Form Survey; T: tumour stage

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1   Appendix B – Literature search strategies
2 Literature search strategies for review question: Which people with non-meta-
3    static colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?

4 Databases: Embase/Medline
5    Last searched on: 31/10/2018
       #    Search
       1    exp colonic neoplasms/ use ppez
       2    exp colon tumor/ use emez
       3    ((colon or colonic) adj3 (adenocarcinoma* or cancer* or carcinoma* or malignan* or neoplas* or oncolog* or
            tumo?r*)).tw.
       4    or/1-3
       5    (local* advanc* or locali?ed or non-metasta* or non metasta* or operable or operative or resectable).tw.
       6    (t3 or t4 or m0 or N1 or N2).tw.
       7    or/5-6
       8    preoperative chemotherapy/ use emez
       9    neoadjuvant chemotherapy/ use emez
       10   Neoadjuvant Therapy/ use ppez
       11   ((preop* or pre?op* or neoadjuvant) adj3 (chemotherap* or therap* or treat*)).tw.
       12   or/8-11
       13   4 and 7 and 12
       14   Letter/ use ppez
       15   letter.pt. or letter/ use emez
       16   note.pt.
       17   editorial.pt.
       18   Editorial/ use ppez
       19   News/ use ppez
       20   exp Historical Article/ use ppez
       21   Anecdotes as Topic/ use ppez
       22   Comment/ use ppez
       23   Case Report/ use ppez
       24   case report/ or case study/ use emez
       25   (letter or comment*).ti.
       26   or/14-25
       27   randomized controlled trial/ use ppez
       28   randomized controlled trial/ use emez
       29   random*.ti,ab.
       30   or/27-29
       31   26 not 30
       32   animals/ not humans/ use ppez
       33   animal/ not human/ use emez
       34   nonhuman/ use emez
       35   exp Animals, Laboratory/ use ppez
       36   exp Animal Experimentation/ use ppez
       37   exp Animal Experiment/ use emez
       38   exp Experimental Animal/ use emez
       39   exp Models, Animal/ use ppez
       40   animal model/ use emez
       41   exp Rodentia/ use ppez
       42   exp Rodent/ use emez
       43   (rat or rats or mouse or mice).ti.

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      #    Search
      44   or/31-43
      45   13 not 44
      46   limit 45 to (yr="2005 - current" and english language)
      47   remove duplicates from 46

1 Database: Cochrane Library
2   Last searched on: 31/10/2018
      #      Search
      1      MeSH descriptor: [Colonic Neoplasms] explode all trees
      2      ((colon or colonic) near/3 (adenocarcinoma* or cancer* or carcinoma* or malignan* or neoplas* or oncolog* or
             tumo?r*)):kw,ti,ab
      3      #1 or #2
      4      (local* advanc* or locali?ed or non-metasta* or non metasta* or operable or operative or resectable):kw,ti,ab
      5      (t3 or t4 or m0 or N1 or N2):kw,ti,ab
      6      #4 or #5
      7      MeSH descriptor: [Neoadjuvant Therapy] this term only
      8      ((preop* or pre?op* or neoadjuvant) near/3 (chemotherap* or therap* or treat*)):kw,ti,ab
      9      #7 or #8
      10     #3 and #6 and #9 with Cochrane Library publication date Between Jan 2005 and Dec 2018

3

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1   Appendix C – Clinical evidence study selection
2 Clinical study selection for review question: Which people with non-metastatic
3    colon cancer would benefit from preoperative chemotherapy?

4    Figure 1: Study selection flow chart
5

                                                 Titles and abstracts
                                                 identified, N= 1064

                             Full copies retrieved                     Excluded, N= 1034
                             and assessed for eli-                  (not relevant population,
                                gibility, N= 30                    design, intervention, com-
                                                                   parison, outcomes, unable
                                                                           to retrieve)

             Publications included         Publications excluded
               in review, N= 2              from review, N= 28
                                             (refer to excluded
                                                 studies list)

6

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1   Appendix D – Clinical evidence tables
2 Clinical evidence tables for review question: Which people with non-metastatic colon cancer would benefit from preoperative
3    chemotherapy?
4    Table 4:        Clinical evidence tables
                                                                                                                           Outcomes and Re-
       Study details             Participants                  Interventions                      Methods                  sults                  Comments
       Full citation Agbamu      Sample size                   Interventions                      Details                  Results                Limitations
       D, Day N, Walsh C,        n= 150                        "Chemotherapy was the              Randomisation: "Eli-     Grade ≥3 adverse       Quality assessment
       et al. (2012) Feasibil-   Preoperative + postopera-     standard UK modified de Gra-       gible patients were      events within 6        performed with the
       ity of preoperative       tive chemotherapy (CT),       mont (OxMdG) regimen, con-         randomly assigned,       weeks, n/N             Cochrane risk of bias
       chemotherapy for lo-      n=99                          sisting of cycles of oxaliplatin   in a 2:1 ratio, be-                             tool
       cally advanced, oper-                                   at 85 mg/m2 combined with l-       tween preoperative                              Selection bias
                                 Standard postoperative                                                                    Preoperative + post-
       able colon cancer:                                      folinic acid 175 mg/m2 plus        plus postoperative
                                 chemotherapy alone, n=51                                                                  operative CT= 32/94    Random sequence
       The pilot phase of a                                    fluorouracil 400 mg/m2 by in-      and postoperative
                                                                                                                           Postoperative CT=      generation: low risk
       randomised con-                                         travenous bolus, followed by       chemotherapy. Pa-
                                 Characteristics                                                                           12/39                  (computer generated
       trolled trial. Lancet                                   a 46 h infusion of 2400            tients were also ran-                           randomisation was
       Oncology 13: 1152-        Preoperative + postopera-     mg/m2 through an indwelling        domly assigned, in a                            used)
       1160                      tive CT, n=99                 line, repeated at 2-weekly in-     1:1 ratio, to receive    Grade ≥3 adverse
                                                                                                                           events within 12       Allocation conceal-
                                 Age, years, median (IQR)=     tervals. Capecitabine could        panitumumab with
                                                                                                                           weeks, n/N:            ment: unclear risk
       Ref Id 745295             64 (59-68)                    not be substituted for fluor-      the first 6 weeks of
                                                                                                                                                  (study was not
                                 Sex, male, n=65               ouracil and folinic acid in this   chemotherapy or not.
                                                                                                                                                  blinded)
                                 Colonic obstruction, n=3      pilot study because of higher      Patients were allo-      Preoperative + post-
       Country/ies where                                                                                                                          Performance bias
                                                               toxicity when combined with        cated to a treatment     operative CT= 14/81
       the study was car-        Radiological T-stage, n                                                                                          Blinding of partici-
                                                               panitumumab. Dose reduc-           group by a telephone     Postoperative CT=
       ried out UK               T3=69                                                                                                            pants and personnel:
                                                               tions and delays of up to 4        or web-based central     9/38
                                 T4=30                         weeks were allowed for re-         randomisation ser-                              unclear risk (study
       Study type Pilot RCT      Radiological N-stage, n       versible toxicity."                vice at the University                          was not blinded)
                                                                                                  of Birmingham Clini-     Grade ≥3 adverse       Detection bias
                                 Nx=3                          Preoperative + postoperative
                                                                                                  cal Trials Unit. A       events within 18
       Aim of the study          N0=23                         CT= "Preoperative chemo-                                                           Blinding of outcome
                                                               therapy duration was only 6        computerised mini-       weeks, n/N:
       The aim of the study      N1=44                                                                                                            assessment: low risk
       was to assess patient                                   weeks (three cycles of             mised randomisation                             (study was not
       selection and recruit-    N2=29                         OxMdG) to minimise the risk        procedure was used       Preoperative + post-   blinded, but lack of
       ment, safety, and tu-     Extramural vascular inva-     of progression of chemo-           to ensure a good bal-    operative CT= 18/75    blinding unlikely to
       mour response to          sion, n= 57/98 (one radiol-   resistant tumours (15–20% of       ance between groups      Postoperative CT=      affect outcome as-
                                 ogy form had missing data)    advanced metastatic colon          for age, radiological    8/34                   sessment)
                                                                                                  T-stage, radiological

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                                                                                                                      Outcomes and Re-
  Study details            Participants                   Interventions                    Methods                    sults                     Comments
  preoperative treat-      Postoperative CT only, n=51    cancers progress during 12       nodal status, site of                                Attrition bias
  ment as part of a fea-   Age, years, median             weeks of similar combination     primary tumour, and        Grade ≥3 adverse          Incomplete outcome
  sibility phase to the    (IQR)=65 (56-69)               chemotherapy). Surgery with      defunctioning colos-       events within 24          data: low risk (inten-
  wider FOxTROT                                           curative intent was under-       tomy."                     weeks, n/N:               tion-to-treat analysis
                           Sex, male, n=32
  (Fluoropyrimidine Ox-                                   taken at least 3 weeks after     Allocation conceal-                                  used)
  aliplatin and Targeted   Colonic obstruction, n=1       completing preoperative ther-    ment: Allocation not       Preoperative + post-      Reporting bias
  Receptor Pre-Opera-      Radiological T-stage, n        apy, to reduce perioperative     concealed
  tive Therapy) trial.     T3=35                          morbidity, followed by a fur-                               operative CT= 47/95       Selective reporting:
                                                                                           Blinding: Not blinded      Postoperative CT=         low risk (primary out-
                           T4=16                          ther 18 weeks (nine cycles) of
                                                                                           Follow up: Not re-         20/39                     come points were re-
  Study dates May 15,      Radiological N-stage, n        OxMdG. CT scans were re-
                                                                                           ported                                               ported)
  2008 to September                                       peated before surgery in the
                           Nx=1                                                            Outcomes: Feasibil-                                  Other bias
  21, 2010                                                pre-operative group."                                       Anastomotic leak,
                           N0=12                                                           ity, safety, tolerance                               Other sources of
                                                          Postoperative CT only= "For                                 n/N:
                           N1=22                                                           of preoperative ther-                                bias: No other
                                                          the patients who were not as-
  Source of funding        N2=16                                                           apy, and the accu-                                   sources of bias
                                                          signed to receive preoperative                              Data extracted from
  Cancer Research UK                                                                       racy of radiological
                           Extramural vascular inva-      chemotherapy, postoperative                                 expert evidence pro-
                                                                                           staging. Other key
                           sion, n=31                     chemotherapy duration was                                   vided , refer to appen-   Other information
                                                                                           outcomes were com-
                           Inclusion criteria             24 weeks (12 cycles) of                                     dix M                     "The FOxTROT
                                                                                           pletion of planned
                           "18 years or older with lo-    OxMdG. If allocated, pani-                                                            study aims to ran-
                                                                                           surgery, periopera-
                           cally advanced (T4 or T3       tumumab (6 mg/kg) was given                                                           domly assign at least
                                                                                           tive morbidity, timely     Wound infection with
                           with extramural depth ≥5       by intravenous infusion at 2-                                                         1050 patients to de-
                                                                                           completion of pre-         or without intra-ab-
                           mm) adenocarcinoma of the      weekly intervals during the                                                           tect a 25% propor-
                                                                                           operative KRAS test-       dominal abscess, n/N:
                           colon, with staging deter-     first 6 weeks of chemotherapy                                                         tional reduction
                                                                                           ing, and downstaging
                           mined preoperatively by ei-    (preoperative or postopera-                                                           (roughly 8% absolute
                                                                                           of the resected tu-
                           ther spiral or multidetector   tive)."                                                     Preoperative + post-      difference) in recur-
                                                                                           mour as measured
                           computed tomography and                                                                    operative CT= 13/99       rence at 2 years (eg,
                                                                                           by histopathological
                           for whom a 24-week course                                       tumour diameter and        Postoperative CT=         32% reduced to
                           of oxaliplatin and fluoropy-                                    stage.                     4/51                      24%) with 80%
                           rimidine-based adjuvant                                         Statistical analysis:                                power at p
FINAL
Preoperative chemotherapy in non-metastatic colon cancer

                                                                                                         Outcomes and Re-
  Study details          Participants                      Interventions       Methods                   sults                     Comments
                         greater than 100×10⁹ plate-                           allocation, and us-       Deep vein thrombosis,     and any large differ-
                         lets per L; adequate renal bi-                        ing t tests to compare    n/N:                      ences in other pri-
                         ochemistry with a glomerular                          continuous variables,                               mary outcomes."
                         filtration rate of greater than                       Mantel-Haenszel                                     Preoperative + post-
                                                                                                         Preoperative + post-
                         50 mL per minute as calcu-                            tests of association                                operative CT: "15
                                                                                                         operative CT= 2/99
                         lated by the Wright or Cock-                          for ordinal variables."                             patients had no post-
                         roft formula or EDTA clear-                                                     Postoperative CT=
                                                                                                                                   operative CT; five
                         ance of greater than 70 mL                                                      0/51
                                                                                                                                   patients (including
                         per minute; adequate                                                                                      three who had no
                         hepatobiliary function with                                                     Neutropenia, n/N:         preoperative chemo-
                         bilirubin less than 25 μmol                                                                               therapy) did not have
                         per L; and serum magne-                                                         Preoperative + post-      postoperative chem-
                         sium levels within the normal                                                   operative CT= 1/99        otherapy because of
                         range at trial entry."                                                                                    low-risk pathology,
                                                                                                         Postoperative CT=
                                                                                                         0/51                      five because of pre-
                         Exclusion criteria Not re-                                                                                vious adverse events
                         ported                                                                                                    (four because of tox-
                                                                                                         Treatment-related         icity of preoperative
                                                                                                         mortality, n/N:           CT, one because of
                                                                                                                                   surgical morbidity),
                                                                                                         Data extracted from       three refused, one
                                                                                                         expert evidence pro-      had metastatic dis-
                                                                                                         vided , refer to appen-   ease, and one died
                                                                                                         dix M                     in the postoperative
                                                                                                                                   period. Additionally,
                                                                                                                                   two had off-protocol
                                                                                                                                   treatment (one pa-
                                                                                                                                   tient had a different
                                                                                                                                   chemotherapy regi-
                                                                                                                                   men, and one was
                                                                                                                                   treated with bevaci-
                                                                                                                                   zumab)."
                                                                                                                                   Postoperative CT
                                                                                                                                   alone: "Of 51 pa-
                                                                                                                                   tients allocated post-
                                                                                                                                   operative CT, 94%
                                                                                                                                   (48 of 51) had resec-
                                                                                                                                   tional surgery with

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                                                                                                    Outcomes and Re-
  Study details          Participants                  Interventions           Methods              sults                 Comments
                                                                                                                          one dying before-
                                                                                                                          hand and two who
                                                                                                                          were not resected
                                                                                                                          because of inopera-
                                                                                                                          ble peritoneal spread
                                                                                                                          detected at surgery.
                                                                                                                          78% (40 of 51)
                                                                                                                          started postoperative
                                                                                                                          chemotherapy with
                                                                                                                          11 not having post-
                                                                                                                          operative chemo-
                                                                                                                          therapy because of
                                                                                                                          low risk pathology
                                                                                                                          (seven) or dying be-
                                                                                                                          forehand (four). 95%
                                                                                                                          (38 of 40) of those
                                                                                                                          starting completed
                                                                                                                          the first 6 weeks and
                                                                                                                          72% (29 of 40) com-
                                                                                                                          pleted all 24 weeks
                                                                                                                          of CT. Toxicity
                                                                                                                          caused six patients
                                                                                                                          to discontinue chem-
                                                                                                                          otherapy." Thus, a
                                                                                                                          higher proportion of
                                                                                                                          patients started pre-
                                                                                                                          operative than post-
                                                                                                                          operative chemo-
                                                                                                                          therapy (96% [95 of
                                                                                                                          99] vs 78% [40 of
                                                                                                                          51]; p=0.001), and
                                                                                                                          CT completion rates
                                                                                                                          were also higher in
                                                                                                                          the preoperative
                                                                                                                          therapy group with
                                                                                                                          68% (67 of 99) of
                                                                                                                          those allocated pre
                                                                                                                          plus postoperative

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                                                                                                                   Outcomes and Re-
  Study details            Participants                 Interventions                    Methods                   sults                   Comments
                                                                                                                                           CT completing 24
                                                                                                                                           weeks of treatment
                                                                                                                                           compared with 57%
                                                                                                                                           (29 of 51) of postop-
                                                                                                                                           erative CT patients
                                                                                                                                           (p=0.19)."
  Full citation Dehal      Sample size                  Interventions                    Details                   Results                 Limitations
  A, Vuong B, Graff-       n= 27,575                    Preoperative CT + surgery        Data collection: Pa-      3-year overall sur-     ROBINS-I checklist
  Baker A, et al. (2017)   Preoperative CT + surgery=   Surgery + postoperative CT       tient records were re-    vival, hazard ratio     for non-randomised
  Neoadjuvant chemo-       921                                                           trieved from the Na-      (95% CI), p-value       studies of interven-
                                                        Surgery: segmental resection,
  therapy improves sur-                                                                  tional Cancer Data        (propensity score       tions
                           Surgery + postoperative      subtotal colectomy/hemicolec-
  vival in patients with                                                                 Base from 2006-2014       matched for age, gen-   Pre-intervention
                           CT= 26,654                   tomy, total colectomy, en bloc
  clinical T4B colon                                                                     using ICD-9-O coding      der, race, insurance
                                                        resection                                                                          Bias due to con-
  cancer. Gastroenter-                                                                   schema.                   status, comorbidity
                           Characteristics                                                                                                 founding: High risk of
  ology 152 (5 Supple-                                                                   Follow up: 3 years        score, hospital type,   bias due to con-
  ment 1), S1209           Preoperative CT + surgery,                                                              tumour histology,
                                                                                         Outcomes: 3-year                                  founding ("There
                           n= 921                                                                                  grade, N stage, tu-
                                                                                         overall survival, en                              were significant dif-
  Ref Id 919057            Age, years, mean (SD)=58.4                                    bloc resection, resec-    mour location, number   ferences in patient
                           (12.1)                                                        tion margins              of nodes examined,      demographics, tu-
                           Sex, male, n=533                                                                        margin, and extent of   mour features, and
  Country/ies where                                                                      Factors controlled
                           Histology, n                                                                            surgery):               treatment between
  the study was car-                                                                     for: "Characteristics
  ried out USA             Adenocarcinoma=786                                            with statistically sig-                           the two groups...and
                           Mucinous=121                                                  nificant p values (p <    T3 patients             though propensity
                                                                                         0.001) as well as clin-   Preoperative CT +       score matching was
  Study type Retro-        Signet cell=14
                                                                                         ically relevant varia-    surgery= 1.15 (0.92-    used to minimize
  spective cohort          T stage, n                                                    bles obtained from        1.43), 0.24             confounding, there
  study                    T3=479                                                        univariate Cox pro-       Surgery + postopera-    remained a small
                           T4a=69                                                        portional-hazards re-     tive CT= reference      number of un-
  Aim of the study         T4b=350                                                       gression analysis                                 matched patients")
  The aim of the study                                                                   were used to match                                Bias in selection of
  was to assess the ef-    N stage, n                                                                              T4a patients
                                                                                         the two treatment                                 participants into the
  fect of neoadjuvant      N0=450                                                                                  Preoperative CT +
                                                                                         groups. This included                             study: Unclear risk of
  chemotherapy for lo-     N1=291                                                        age, gender, race, in-    surgery= 1.43 (0.85-    bias ("The data does
  cally advanced colon     N2=106                                                        surance status,           2.40), 0.18             not include the small
  cancer on survival.      Nx=74                                                         comorbidity score,        Surgery + postopera-    groups of patients
                           Grade, n                                                      hospital type, histol-    tive CT= reference      who underwent sur-
                           Low=636                                                       ogy, N stage, grade,                              gical resection but

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                                                                                                        Outcomes and Re-
  Study details          Participants                  Interventions           Methods                  sults                     Comments
  Study dates 2006 to    High=184                                              tumour location,         T4b patients              did not receive AC
  2014                   Unknown=101                                           nodes examined,          Preoperative CT +         due to morbidity and
                                                                               margin, and extent of    surgery= 0.77 (0.60-      mortality nor patients
                         Nodes retrieved, n
                                                                               surgery. The match-      0.98), 0.04               that had neoadjuvant
  Source of funding      1-11=168                                              ing rate for T3, T4a,                              chemotherapy but
  Not reported           ≥12=745                                                                        Surgery + postopera-
                                                                               and T4b was 80, 70,                                never had surgery
                                                                                                        tive CT= reference
                         Unknown=8                                             and 78%, respec-                                   due to disease pro-
                         Margin, n                                             tively. The standard                               gression.")
                                                                               mean difference be-      Positive margins for      At intervention
                         Negative=776
                                                                               tween the two groups     T4b patients, odds ra-
                         Positive=126                                                                                             Bias in classification
                                                                               after propensity score   tio (CI), p-value (ad-
                         Unknown=19                                                                                               of interventions: Low
                                                                               matching was < 0.1,      justed for age, gen-
                                                                                                                                  risk of bias
                         Surgery + postoperative CT,                           indicating negligible    der, race, insurance
                         n= 26,654                                                                      status, comorbidity       Post-intervention
                                                                               difference."
                         Age, years, mean (SD)=61.5                                                     score, hospital type,     Bias due to devia-
                                                                               Statistical analysis:
                                                                                                        tumour histology,         tions from intended
                         Sex, male, n=13,270                                   "To examine the as-
                                                                                                        grade, N stage, extent    interventions: Low
                         Histology, n                                          sociation between
                                                                                                        of surgery, and tu-       risk of bias
                         Adenocarcinoma=22,834                                 the two treatment
                                                                               groups and 3-year        mour location):           Bias due to missing
                         Mucinous=3243                                                                                            data: Unclear risk of
                                                                               overall survival (OS),
                         Signet cell=577                                       univariate Cox pro-      Preoperative CT +         bias (Some data
                         T stage, n                                            portional-hazards re-    surgery= 0.95 (0.90-      missing from patient
                         T3=19,999                                             gression analysis        0.98), p=0.04*            characteristics)
                         T4a=3201                                              was performed, fol-      Surgery + postopera-      Bias in measurement
                                                                               lowed by propensity      tive CT= reference        of outcomes: Low
                         T4b=2987
                                                                               score matching to        (* Note that calculated   risk of bias
                         N stage, n
                                                                               minimize the con-        values appearing in       Bias in selection of
                         N0=11,106                                             founding effects due                               the reported result:
                                                                                                        the forest plot and
                         N1=8985                                               to nonrandomised         corresponding table       Low risk of bias
                         N2=5343                                               assignment within        are different 0.95
                         Nx=1220                                               clinical tumour stages   [0.91, 0.99] due to       Other information
                                                                               (T3, T4a, and T4b).      rounding)
                         Grade, n                                                                                                 None
                                                                               Survival curves were
                         Low=18,843                                            also plotted using the
                         High=7086                                             Kaplan-Meier method
                         Unknown=725                                           and compared with
                         Nodes retrieved, n                                    the log-rank test for
                         1-11=2844                                             each tumour stage

                                                                      27
Colorectal cancer (update): evidence review for preoperative chemotherapy in non-metastatic colon cancer FINAL (January 2020)
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